宏观金融数据日报-20260206

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View - Short - term, after a volume - shrinking rebound, the stock index is expected to consolidate through fluctuations to accumulate strength for further upward movement. In the long run, in a low - interest - rate and "asset shortage" context, with abundant domestic market funds and the economy in the bottom - building process, the medium - to - long - term upward trend of the stock index is not expected to end, and the stock index pullback may be an opportunity to enter long positions [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Categories 3.1 Macro Financial Data - Interest Rates: DR001 closed at 1.32 with a 0.12bp increase, DR007 at 1.48 with a 0.94bp decrease, GC001 at 1.42 with a 5.50bp decrease, GC007 at 1.57 with no change, SHBOR 3M at 1.58 with a 0.41bp decrease, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.23 with no change, 5 - year treasury at 1.50 with a 0.75bp decrease, 10 - year treasury at 1.81 with a 0.45bp decrease, and 10 - year US Treasury at 4.29 with a 1.00bp increase [3] - Central Bank Operations: The central bank conducted 1185 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an operating rate of 1.40% and 3000 billion yuan of 14 - day reverse repurchase operations. With 3540 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturing, the net injection was 645 billion yuan. This week, 17615 billion yuan of reverse repurchase will mature, and 7000 billion yuan of 91 - day repurchase will mature on Wednesday [3][4] 3.2 Stock Index Futures - Stock Index Performance: The CSI 300 closed at 4670, down 0.6%; the SSE 50 at 3059, down 0.33%; the CSI 500 at 8299, up 0.15%; and the CSI 1000 at 8068, down 1.69%. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges was 21945 billion yuan, a decrease of 3090 billion yuan from the previous day. Industry sectors had more decliners than gainers [5] - Futures Contracts: IF当月 closed at 4672, down 0.6%; IH当月 at 3064, down 0.3%; IC当月 at 8145, down 1.8%; IM当月 at 8078, down 1.8%. The trading volumes of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 4.5%, 3.1%, 9.7%, and 1.9% respectively, while the trading volumes of IF, IH, and IC increased by 1.2%, 2.0%, 2.5%, and the trading volume of IM decreased by 0.7% [5] - Premium and Discount: IF had a premium of - 0.62% for the current - month contract, 0.95% for the next - month contract, 2.01% for the current - quarter contract, and 2.96% for the next - quarter contract; IH had a premium of - 3.65% for the current - month contract, - 0.66% for the next - month contract, 0.21% for the current - quarter contract, and 1.64% for the next - quarter contract; IC had a premium of 0.33% for the current - month contract, 2.70% for the next - month contract, 4.48% for the current - quarter contract, and 4.90% for the next - quarter contract; IM had a premium of - 2.93% for the current - month contract, 2.97% for the next - month contract, 6.34% for the current - quarter contract, and 7.00% for the next - quarter contract [7]