铂钯数据日报-20260206

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core Viewpoints - On February 5th, platinum and palladium prices declined overall. The PT2606 contract closed down 7.96% to 540.3 yuan/gram, and the PD2606 contract closed down 1.97% to 442.7 yuan/gram. Affected by the marginal market of macro - drivers and pre - holiday liquidity tightening, the precious metals market was sold off again. Platinum and palladium were no exception. Fundamentally, Trump plans to set up a $12 billion strategic reserve for critical minerals, and the EU is considering new sanctions on Russian - exported platinum, so platinum and palladium prices may still have support, especially palladium. In the short term, platinum and palladium prices are expected to fluctuate widely, and long - term allocation opportunities after this significant decline can be focused on. In the medium - to - long term, the supply - demand prospects of platinum and palladium are different. There is still a supply - demand gap for platinum, while palladium tends to have a loose supply. Therefore, the strategy suggests unilaterally allocating platinum at low prices or continuing to focus on the long - platinum and short - palladium arbitrage strategy [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Contents Price Changes - Domestic Prices: Platinum futures main contract closing price dropped from 599.85 to 540.3 yuan/gram, a decline of 9.93%. The spot price of platinum (99.95%) was 573.5 yuan/gram, a decline of 8.46%. The platinum basis (spot - futures) changed from - 15.3 to - 26.35, a decline of 41.94%. Lithium futures main contract closing price dropped from 461 to 442.7 yuan/gram, a decline of 3.97%. The spot price of lithium (99.95%) was 449 yuan/gram, a decline of 3.12%. The lithium basis (spot - futures) changed from - 7.7 to - 12, a decline of 35.83% [4] - International Prices: London spot platinum price dropped from 2322.4 to 2090.3 dollars/ounce, a decline of 9.99%. London spot palladium price dropped from 1802.914 to 1724.399 dollars/ounce, a decline of 4.35%. NYMEX platinum price dropped from 2304.6 to 2074.6 dollars/ounce, a decline of 9.98%. NYMEX palladium price dropped from 1804 to 1722.5 dollars/ounce, a decline of 4.52%. The dollar/renminbi middle - rate increased by 0.05% from 6.9533 to 6.957. The spread between Guangzhou platinum and London platinum (at 15:00) decreased by 9.10% from 13.18 to 11.98 yuan/gram. The spread between Guangzhou platinum and NYMEX platinum decreased by 9.77% from 17.67 to 15.94 yuan/gram [4] Price Ratios and Spreads - The ratio of Guangdong Futures Exchange platinum to palladium changed from 1.2205 to 1.3012, an increase of 0.0807. The ratio of London spot platinum to palladium changed from 1.2881 to 1.2122, a decrease of 0.0759. The spread between Guangzhou lithium and London palladium increased by 23.44% from 5.56 to 6.86. The spread between Guangzhou palladium and NYMEX palladium increased by 38.94% from 5.28 to 7.34 [5] Inventory and Position - NYMEX platinum inventory increased by 9.39% from 605259 to 662085 troy ounces. NYMEX palladium inventory remained unchanged at 208456 troy ounces. NYMEX total platinum position decreased by 0.55% from 79441 to 79009. NYMEX non - commercial net long position in platinum decreased by 7.95% from 15124 to 13922. NYMEX total palladium position decreased by 0.23% from 19167 to 19123. NYMEX non - commercial net long position in palladium decreased by 22.97% from 888 to 684 [5]