保险2025年业绩前瞻：全年利润及NBV有望延续高增

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The net profit of listed insurance companies is expected to continue rapid growth in 2025, with a total net profit of 426 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.5% [1] - The new business value (NBV) of life insurance is projected to maintain high growth in 2025, with total premium income expected to reach 4,362.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [2] - The property insurance sector is anticipated to see steady premium growth, with total premium income expected to reach 1,757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [6] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The life insurance sector is expected to see a robust performance in 2025, driven by strong demand and the transformation of the bancassurance channel, with new premium income from bancassurance channels increasing by 42.0% year-on-year [2] - The adjustment of the upper limit of the life insurance interest rate is expected to improve the NBV margin, with the rates for traditional savings insurance set at 2.0% and for participating insurance at 1.75% [2] Property Insurance - The property insurance sector is projected to achieve steady premium growth, with car insurance and non-car insurance premiums expected to reach 940.9 billion yuan and 816.1 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 3.0% and 5.0% [6] - The combined ratio (COR) is expected to improve due to a decrease in natural disaster-related economic losses, which fell by 39.8% year-on-year [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, such as China Ping An, New China Life, China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and ZhongAn Online [8]