关注伊朗装置复工进度
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2026-02-06 05:08
- Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The slowdown in Chinese arrivals has materialized, leading to a decline in port inventories this week. However, the winter maintenance units in Iran have started to resume production, and ZPC has restarted one production line. Attention should be paid to the subsequent resumption progress, as the resumption of Iranian units may suppress the market, while also keeping an eye on the development of the geopolitical situation in Iran. [2] - The coal - based methanol plants maintain high - level operation. The downstream pending orders are performing well, and the inventory of inland factories has further decreased, without realizing the seasonal inventory build - up before the Spring Festival. [3] - In the traditional downstream sector, acetic acid remains in a loss - making and low - load operation state, formaldehyde continues to reduce its load seasonally, and the MTBE production rate shows a good performance. [3] - The MTO units are in the maintenance period, and Xingxing and Shenghong are still under maintenance. [2] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Methanol Basis and Inter - period Structure - The report presents multiple figures related to methanol basis, including the basis between methanol in Taicang and the main contract, and the basis between spot methanol in different regions and the main futures contract, such as in Lunan, Inner Mongolia North Line, Henan, Hebei, and Guangdong. It also shows the inter - period spreads between different futures contracts like methanol 01 - 05, 05 - 09, and 09 - 01. [6][7][13] 3.2 Methanol Production Profit, MTO Profit, and Import Profit - Figures show the production profit of coal - based methanol in Inner Mongolia, the MTO profit in East China (PP&EG type), the import price difference between Taicang methanol and CFR China, and the price differences between CFR Southeast Asia - CFR China, FOB US Gulf - CFR China, and FOB Rotterdam - CFR China. [6][26][27] 3.3 Methanol Production Rate and Inventory - The report shows data on the total methanol port inventory, MTO/P production rate (including integrated units), inland factory sample inventory, and China's methanol production rate (including integrated units). [6][34][41] 3.4 Regional Price Differences - It includes price differences such as Lubei - Northwest - 280, East China - Inner Mongolia - 550, Taicang - Lunan - 250, Lunan - Taicang - 100, Guangdong - East China - 180, and East China - Sichuan - Chongqing - 200. [6][38][46] 3.5 Traditional Downstream Profits - The report presents the production profits of traditional downstream products, such as the production profit of formaldehyde in Shandong, acetic acid in Jiangsu, MTBE isomerization etherification in Shandong, and dimethyl ether in Henan. [6][50][54]