China Catalyst (SH:688267) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-02-06 14:36Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5][12]. Core Insights - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of specialty molecular sieves and catalytic new materials, with ongoing projects laying a foundation for future growth [2][20]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 1.16, 1.39, and 1.66 yuan respectively, with a target price set at 34.75 yuan based on a 25x PE valuation for 2026 [12][17]. - The company has established a comprehensive core process technology system covering the entire chemical industry chain, successfully developing multiple proprietary technology packages [12][20]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 550 million yuan in 2023 to 1,528 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30.6% [4][13]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 77 million yuan in 2023 to 293 million yuan in 2027, with a significant rebound in 2024 showing an 89.2% increase [4][13]. - The company’s net asset return rate is projected to rise from 2.9% in 2023 to 8.9% in 2027, indicating improving profitability [4][13]. Production Capacity and Utilization - The company plans to increase its production capacity for specialty molecular sieves and catalysts by 3,000 tons in 2025 and an additional 3,300 tons for environmental catalysts by February 2026 [18][20]. - The expected capacity utilization rates for specialty molecular sieves and catalysts are projected to be 72%, 64%, and 77% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [18]. Comparable Company Valuation - The report compares the company with peers in the molecular sieve industry, with an average PE of 23x for 2026 among comparable companies [17][19].