海外科技行业2026年第6期：AI龙头加码资本开支，全球科技股分化震荡

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, recommending investments in AI computing, cloud vendors, AI applications, and AI social sectors [5]. Core Insights - The AI model competition is intensifying, with major players deepening capital ties. TSMC is upgrading its processes in Japan, while Meituan is consolidating its instant retail operations. SpaceX's acquisition of xAI marks the beginning of a new narrative in "orbital AI" [2]. - Alphabet reported Q4 2025 earnings of $113.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18%, with net profit reaching $34.46 billion, up 30%. The company expects significant capital expenditures in 2026 to meet existing customer demand [5][8]. - OpenAI launched GPT-5.3-Codex, claiming it to be the strongest programming agent to date, achieving a score of 77.3% on the Terminal-Bench 2.0 benchmark, a 13 percentage point improvement over its predecessor [9]. - SpaceX confirmed the acquisition of AI company xAI, aiming to integrate AI with rocket and satellite communications, with an estimated post-acquisition valuation of $1.25 trillion [10]. Summary by Sections Weekly Overview - Alphabet's Q4 2025 revenue reached $113.83 billion, with a net profit of $34.46 billion, marking a significant year-on-year growth. The company anticipates higher capital expenditures in 2026 to support AI investments and infrastructure [8]. AI Industry News - Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.6, enhancing long text processing capabilities and introducing adaptive reasoning features. Amazon is considering a significant investment in OpenAI to develop customized AI models [23]. - TSMC plans to produce 3nm chips in Japan, increasing its investment from $12.2 billion to $17 billion, supported by the Japanese government [24]. - Meituan acquired Dingdong Maicai for approximately $717 million, aligning with its long-term strategy in grocery retail [24]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include NVIDIA (NVDA.O), TSMC (TSM.N), ASML (ASML.O), and Broadcom (AVGO.O) in the computing sector. For cloud vendors, Microsoft (MSFT.O), Amazon (AMZN.O), and Google (GOOGL.O) are highlighted. In AI applications, Apple (AAPL.O), Qualcomm (QCOM.O), and Xiaomi (1810.HK) are recommended [25].