期货技术分析周报：2026年第6周-20260209

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Most sectors are under short - term pressure, and the volatility risk around the Spring Festival increases. Investors need to manage their positions carefully [1]. Summary by Directory 1. Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector - Gold and silver in the precious metals sector are expected to decline next week; alumina in the non - ferrous sector shows a bullish signal, while aluminum, zinc, tin, aluminum alloy, copper, and industrial silicon show bearish signals, and the rest of the varieties are expected to fluctuate [8]. - The main contract of Shanghai copper had large fluctuations before the festival. MACD formed a death cross approaching the zero axis, the price dropped to the lower Bollinger Band, and the trading volume and open interest decreased. It is expected to continue to fluctuate and correct next week. Attention should be paid to the support of MA60, and long positions are advised to wait and manage positions [12]. 2. Black and Shipping Sector - Hot - rolled coils, wire rods, manganese silicon, rebar, and iron ore show bearish signals next week, and the rest of the varieties are expected to fluctuate; European - line container shipping shows a bullish signal [17]. - The main contract of rebar has been falling continuously on the daily line. MACD is in a short position to the zero axis, and the price has broken through MA60. The support around 3000 - 3040 is to be noted, and the downward trend is expected to continue [21]. 3. Energy and Chemical Sector - In the energy sector, crude oil, asphalt, and LPG show bullish signals, while fuel oil and low - sulfur fuel oil are expected to fluctuate. In the chemical sector, polypropylene shows a bullish signal, while PTA, paraxylene, etc. show bearish signals [26]. - The main contract of PTA is expected to fluctuate in the short term. It is currently in a 5000 - 5400 yuan/ton oscillation range. MACD maintains a long position but the bars are shrinking. The daily - line price shows a weak oscillation, and it is expected to fluctuate next week [29]. 4. Agricultural Products Sector - Soybean No.1, sugar, and corn in the agricultural products sector show bullish signals next week, while soybean No.2, rapeseed meal, etc. show bearish signals, and the rest of the varieties are expected to fluctuate [36]. - The main contract of corn is expected to fluctuate before the festival. The daily - line price is in a consolidation state, with insufficient trading volume and open interest. MACD forms a death cross above the zero axis, but the downside space is limited. It may fluctuate around 2220 - 2250 yuan/ton in the short term [41]. 5. Stock Index Futures Sector - The main contracts of Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 index futures all show oscillation signals next week [2]. - The weekly - line price of IC (CSI 500) futures continued to decline by 2.93%, and the daily - line MACD is in a short position above the zero axis. It is expected to fluctuate next week, and risk and position management should be noted [50]. 6. Treasury Bond Futures Sector - The 2 - year and 30 - year treasury bond futures show bullish signals next week, while the 5 - year and 10 - year treasury bond futures are expected to fluctuate [53]. - The price of the main contract of the 10 - year treasury bond futures T is expected to fluctuate. The daily - line shows a long - position arrangement, and the price has stood above MA250. Attention should be paid to the price movement around MA250, and the resistance range of 108.5 - 108.7 can be noted [60].