Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Hongyuan Co., specializes in the research and production of electromagnetic wires, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.7% in revenue over the past three years. It is recognized as a national "manufacturing single champion enterprise" in the field of electromagnetic wires for ultra/high voltage transformers [3][14]. - The company has a strong market position, holding significant shares in high-voltage transformer projects, with a 24.43% share in direct current converter transformers and a 29.63% share in alternating current transformers in recent bids [5][19]. - The company is actively expanding into the new energy vehicle sector, focusing on high-power drive motors, and has secured orders from domestic and international clients, including VinFast, a Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer [5][19]. Company Overview - Hongyuan Co. has a total market capitalization of 42.24 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 14.67 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 33.17 yuan. The company has a total share capital of 1.27 billion shares, with a circulating share capital of 0.44 billion shares [3]. - The company has achieved a revenue of 1.952 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.97%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 73.84 million yuan, up 4.93% year-on-year [3][6]. Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.724 billion yuan in 2025, 3.417 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.438 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 114 million yuan, 148 million yuan, and 196 million yuan respectively [6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.89 yuan, 1.16 yuan, and 1.54 yuan, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 35.3, 27.2, and 20.5 respectively [6]. Industry Overview - The electromagnetic cable industry in China had a market revenue of 45.18 billion USD in 2022, with an expected CAGR of 7.43%, projected to reach 96.66 billion USD by 2032. The investment in electric power resources in China has increased significantly, from 328.3 billion yuan in 2019 to 1,168.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 28.91% [4]. - The global market for electric wires and cables is expected to reach 267.8 billion USD in 2024, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2025 to 2034 [4]. Competitive Position - The company has established a strong competitive position in the high-voltage transformer electromagnetic wire market, with a significant number of patents (80 in total) and a history of successful bids in major ultra/high voltage projects [5][24]. - The company has a well-developed production system and a stable customer base, including major domestic and international clients, ensuring a reliable supply chain and long-term partnerships [18][19].
宏远股份(920018):北交所首次覆盖报告:特高压变压器电磁线单项冠军,高功率驱动电机开辟新增长