高频数据跟踪20260209：物价整体下行，航班量快速增长

Report Overview - The report is a fixed - income report released on February 9, 2026, focusing on high - frequency economic data analysis and providing investment - related insights [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - High - frequency economic data shows production heat differentiation, with rising coke oven, blast furnace, and PTA operating rates and falling asphalt and tire operating rates [2][31] - The commercial housing transaction area decreases, while the land supply area slightly increases [2][31] - Overall prices are declining, including energy, metal, and agricultural product prices [2][31] - As the holiday approaches, subway passenger volume and peak congestion index in first - tier cities decline, while domestic and international flight volumes grow rapidly [2][31] - Short - term focus should be on the implementation of fiscal and monetary coordinated policies [2][31] Summary by Directory 1. Production - Steel: Coke oven capacity utilization increases by 0.48 pct, blast furnace operating rate rises by 0.53 pct, and rebar production drops by 8.15 tons. The inventory increases by 4.52 tons [8] - Petroleum Asphalt: The operating rate drops by 1.0 pct to 24.5% [8] - Chemical Industry: PX operating rate remains flat, while PTA operating rate increases by 1.07 pct to 76.9% [8] - Automobile Tires: The full - steel tire operating rate drops by 1.74 pct to 60.7%, and the semi - steel tire operating rate drops by 2.08 pct to 72.76% [9] 2. Demand - Real Estate: The commercial housing transaction area decreases by 28.05 square meters to 123.24 square meters. The inventory - to - sales ratio drops by 1.83 to 114.86. The land supply area increases by 29.65 square meters to 1021.03 square meters, and the residential land transaction premium rate drops by 2.91 pct to 0.01% [13] - Movie Box Office: The box office drops by 0.2 billion yuan to 284 million yuan [13] - Shipping Freight Rates: The SCFI index drops by 3.81%, the CCFI index drops by 4.55%, and the BDI index drops by 10.47% [16] 3. Prices - Energy: Brent crude oil price drops by 3.73% to $68.05 per barrel, and coking coal futures price drops by 1.83% to 1154 yuan per ton [20] - Metals: LME copper, aluminum, and zinc futures prices change by - 0.08%, - 0.81%, and + 0.39% respectively, and domestic rebar futures price drops by 1.81% [21] - Agricultural Products: The agricultural product wholesale price 200 index drops by 0.70%. Pork, egg, and vegetable prices drop by 1.45%, 1.28%, and 1.78% respectively, while fruit prices increase by 0.25% [24] 4. Logistics - Subway Passenger Volume: In Beijing, it drops by 5.73 million person - times to 9.9066 million person - times, with a weekly change of - 0.57%. In Shanghai, it drops by 8.57 million person - times to 9.96 million person - times, with a weekly change of - 0.85% [27] - Flight Volume: Domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume increases by 1050.43 flights to 14699.14 flights, with a weekly change of 7.7%. Domestic (Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume increases by 15.57 flights to 397.29 flights, with a weekly change of 4.08%. International flight volume increases by 107.43 flights to 1929.43 flights, with a weekly change of 5.9% [28] - Urban Traffic: The peak congestion index in first - tier cities drops by 0.07 to 1.58, with a weekly change of - 4.15% [28]