East Money Securities·2026-02-09 15:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong investment rating for the public utility sector, emphasizing a focus on "dividend + growth" opportunities and an increased allocation towards solid waste management in the environmental sector [1][5]. Core Insights - The public utility sector's fund allocation stabilized and increased in Q4 2025, with a market value of approximately 144.54 billion yuan, accounting for 0.39% of total fund allocation, a slight increase of 0.02% from the previous quarter [5][18]. - The report highlights the importance of focusing on leading companies that possess both dividend attributes and growth potential, particularly in light of improved profitability expectations due to capacity and electricity pricing policies [5][23]. - The environmental sector is advised to concentrate on solid waste management operations and companies with marginal improvements or thematic flexibility, as the demand for green fuels continues to tighten [5][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Fund Holdings Overview - In Q4 2025, the top ten stocks in the public utility sector by fund holdings included Changjiang Electric, Huaneng International, and China Nuclear Power, with significant increases in holdings for Huaneng International and Changjiang Electric [5][23][24]. 2. Weekly Review of the Sector - From February 2 to February 6, 2026, the public utility index rose by 0.16%, while the environmental index increased by 0.09%, contrasting with declines in the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices [5][29]. 3. Dynamics of the Public Utility Sector 3.1 Electricity Tracking - In February 2026, the average transaction price for electricity in Jiangsu was 312.80 yuan/MWh, down 3.67% month-on-month and 23.89% year-on-year. In Shanxi, the average price was 288.65 yuan/MWh, down 1.17% month-on-month and 10.95% year-on-year [5][41]. 3.2 Power Generation - The total power generation in December 2025 was approximately 858.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.46% and a month-on-month increase of 10.19% [5][44]. 4. Price and Inventory Tracking - The report notes an upward trend in thermal coal prices, with the CCI index at 696 yuan/ton as of February 4, 2026, reflecting a slight increase [5][7]. - Natural gas prices showed a decrease, with the LNG ex-factory price index at 3965 yuan/ton as of February 6, 2026, down 1.98% [5][8].