工业硅、多晶硅日报（2026年2月10日）-20260210

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - On the 9th, industrial silicon fluctuated weakly. The main contract 2605 closed at 8,450 yuan/ton, with an intraday decline of 0.82%. The position increased by 17,899 lots to 295,000 lots. The spot reference price of industrial silicon from Baichuan was 9,458 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day. The price of the lowest deliverable product remained stable at 8,850 yuan/ton, and the spot premium expanded to 400 yuan/ton. Polysilicon also fluctuated weakly. The main contract 2605 closed at 49,370 yuan/ton, with an intraday decline of 0.17%. The position increased by 413 lots to 38,347 lots. The price of N-type recycled silicon material from Baichuan reached 53,650 yuan/ton, and the price of the lowest deliverable silicon material was 53,650 yuan/ton. The spot premium narrowed to 4,280 yuan/ton. Yunnan manufacturers entered the delivery period of the last batch of orders before the festival, and production will be gradually reduced across the board this week. Xinjiang continued to reduce production and output. Currently, term merchants are still actively selling goods, and downstream inventory replenishment is coming to an end. There is no driving force for price increases before the festival. New orders in the crystalline silicon market have stagnated before the festival. Silicon wafers have entered a one-order-one-negotiation mode. Except for component traders selling goods at reduced prices due to capital pressure, other links have temporarily stabilized in the stalemate of transactions. Before the festival, around the logic of capital recovery, the crystalline silicon market continued to be weak, and the market contradiction shifted to the game of post-festival expected confidence [2]. Group 3: Summary of Each Section 1. Daily Data Monitoring - Industrial Silicon: The futures settlement price of the main contract decreased by 50 yuan/ton to 8,450 yuan/ton, and the near-month contract decreased by 60 yuan/ton to 8,360 yuan/ton. The prices of most spot products remained stable, with only the prices of some oxygenated 553 silicon products decreasing by 50 yuan/ton. The current lowest deliverable product price remained stable at 8,850 yuan/ton, and the spot premium increased by 50 yuan to 400 yuan/ton. The industrial silicon warehouse receipts increased by 12 to 16,749, and the social inventory increased by 16,500 tons to 439,350 tons [4]. - Polysilicon: The futures settlement price of the main contract increased by 85 yuan/ton to 49,370 yuan/ton, and the near-month contract remained unchanged at 49,490 yuan/ton. The price of N-type recycled silicon material increased by 50 yuan/ton to 53,650 yuan/ton, and the current lowest deliverable product price also increased by 50 yuan/ton to 53,650 yuan/ton. The spot premium decreased by 35 yuan to 4,280 yuan/ton. The polysilicon warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 8,610, and the social inventory increased by 0.9 tons to 34.1 tons [4]. - Organic Silicon: The prices of most organic silicon products remained stable, with only the price of dimethyl silicone oil increasing by 1,000 yuan/ton to 15,500 yuan/ton [4]. 2. Chart Analysis - Industrial Silicon and Cost Side Prices: The charts show the prices of various grades of industrial silicon, grade price differences, regional price differences, electricity prices, silica prices, and coking coal prices [6][8][10]. - Downstream Product Prices: The charts show the prices of DMC, organic silicon products, polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and components [12][14][16]. - Inventory: The charts show the futures inventory of industrial silicon and polysilicon, the weekly industry inventory of industrial silicon, the weekly inventory change of industrial silicon, the weekly inventory of polysilicon, and the weekly inventory of DMC [18][21]. - Cost and Profit: The charts show the average cost and profit levels of industrial silicon, the weekly cost and profit of industrial silicon, the processing industry profit of polysilicon, the cost and profit of DMC, and the cost and profit of aluminum alloy [24][26][29].