英大证券电力能源行业周报-20260210

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that in 2026, the installed capacity of solar power generation in China is expected to surpass that of coal power for the first time, with the combined installed capacity of wind and solar power reaching half of the total installed capacity by the end of the year [10] - The report indicates that the energy sector is transitioning from a coal-dominated system to one led by renewable energy, reshaping the power source structure and market rules [11] - The report notes significant growth in the energy storage sector, with a cumulative installed capacity of 213 GW by the end of 2025, marking a 54% year-on-year increase [42] Summary by Sections Industry Events - The China Electricity Council predicts that in 2026, the installed capacity of solar power will exceed that of coal power, with wind and solar combined accounting for 80.2% of new installed capacity in 2025 [10] - Major energy projects are being advanced, including the successful installation of a nuclear power unit and the completion of significant transmission lines [11] Market Performance - During the period from February 2 to February 8, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.33%, while the power equipment index rose by 2.20%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 3.53 percentage points [13] - Among the sub-sectors related to power energy, photovoltaic battery components, photovoltaic processing equipment, and cable components saw the highest increases, with respective rises of 8.10%, 6.01%, and 4.20% [19] Power Industry Operations - In December 2025, the total electricity consumption in society was 908 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.77%, with a total of 1,036.82 billion kWh consumed throughout the year, marking a 5.00% increase [21] - The newly added power generation capacity in 2025 was 54,617.1558 MW, a year-on-year increase of 26.07% [23] New Power System Situation Photovoltaics - As of February 4, 2026, the average price of polysilicon was 54 CNY/kg, remaining stable compared to the previous week [39] Energy Storage - By the end of December 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of energy storage projects in China reached 213 GW, with new energy storage capacity growing by 85% year-on-year [42] Lithium Batteries - As of February 6, 2026, the price of lithium carbonate was 134,000 CNY/ton, down by 1,400 CNY/ton from the previous week [46] Charging Stations - By the end of December 2025, the total number of charging infrastructure units in China reached 20.092 million, a year-on-year increase of 56.75% [51]