ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(SZ:300308) Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-02-10 07:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 9.8 to 11.8 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 89.50% to 128.17% [2]. - The company is positioned to maintain its leading status in the new scenarios of the industry, particularly in the silicon photonics and 1.6T markets, which are expected to enhance profitability [8]. - The company has faced challenges such as foreign exchange losses and material shortages but still recorded significant growth in Q4, with a net profit of 3.67 billion yuan, up 158.53% year-on-year [8]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A: 23.86 billion yuan, 2025E: 39.64 billion yuan, 2026E: 79.30 billion yuan, and 2027E: 122.24 billion yuan, with growth rates of 122.6%, 66.1%, 100.1%, and 54.1% respectively [3][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 5.17 billion yuan in 2024, 10.93 billion yuan in 2025, 22.53 billion yuan in 2026, and 35.36 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 137.9%, 111.4%, 106.1%, and 57.0% respectively [3][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 4.65 yuan in 2024, 9.84 yuan in 2025, 20.27 yuan in 2026, and 31.83 yuan in 2027 [3][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively expanding into the scale-up market, which is expected to see bandwidth demands increase significantly, potentially reaching 5-10 times that of the scale-out market [8]. - The company has developed customized products in collaboration with key clients, with expectations for sample validation in 2026 and large-scale deployment in 2027 [8].