Shanghai Friendess(SH:688188) Jianghai Securities·2026-02-10 09:20Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company for the first time [1] Core Views - The company, Shanghai Bichu Electronics Technology Co., Ltd., specializes in laser cutting control systems and has established a strong competitive position in the market [5] - The company has shown robust revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from 376 million yuan in 2019 to an estimated 1.735 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 35.78% [5][22] - The domestic demand for laser equipment is on the rise, driven by the upgrade of China's economic structure towards advanced manufacturing [5][54] - The company maintains a leading market share of approximately 60% in the domestic low-power laser cutting control system market [5] - The report projects the company's EPS for 2025-2027 to be 3.84, 4.69, and 5.72 yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 38.25, 31.34, and 25.68 times [5] Financial Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is forecasted as follows: 2023A: 1,407.11, 2024A: 1,735.46, 2025E: 2,147.11, 2026E: 2,639.22, 2027E: 3,240.17, with growth rates of 56.61%, 23.33%, 23.72%, 22.92%, and 22.77% respectively [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million yuan) is projected to grow from 728.91 in 2023A to 1,652.40 in 2027E, with growth rates of 52.01%, 21.10%, 25.65%, 22.05%, and 22.07% respectively [4] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 15.01% in 2023A to 21.44% in 2027E [4] Business Overview - The company provides a range of automation products centered around laser cutting control systems, including follow-up control systems, board control systems, and bus control systems [37] - The laser processing industry is experiencing steady growth, with increasing demand for high-power control systems and ongoing domestic substitution [5][54] - The company has developed a comprehensive service network, covering both domestic and international markets, enhancing its operational efficiency [12] Market Trends - The domestic laser equipment market is projected to grow from 65.8 billion yuan in 2019 to 91 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 6.70% [5][54] - The global industrial laser market is expected to grow from 5.157 billion USD in 2020 to 8.808 billion USD in 2026, with a CAGR of 9.33% [62] - The laser cutting equipment market in China is forecasted to increase from 31.8 billion yuan in 2020 to 69 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 13.78% [70]