科捷智能（688455）：智能物流+智能制造齐头并进，拓展机器人新赛道

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company, 科捷智能, established in 2015, has expanded into intelligent logistics, intelligent manufacturing, and new energy sectors, successfully delivering over 1,000 projects in more than 20 countries [5][14] - The company has a robust order backlog, with orders amounting to 4.291 billion yuan as of Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 70% [6][26] - The company has terminated a share reduction plan by its second-largest shareholder, 顺丰投资, and has repurchased and canceled shares, boosting market confidence [5][20] Summary by Sections 1. Focus on Core Business and Robotics Layout - The company focuses on intelligent logistics and manufacturing, having successfully delivered projects across various industries including e-commerce and healthcare [14] - A strategic partnership with 星动纪元 was established to develop humanoid robots for logistics applications, marking a significant step in integrating robotics with intelligent logistics [14][40] 2. Strong Order Backlog and Expected Performance Turnaround - The company anticipates a turnaround in performance with projected revenues for 2025 ranging from 2.15 billion to 2.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 54% to 76% [6][28] - The company’s overseas orders have significantly increased, with a forecasted 200% rise in foreign revenue for 2025 compared to 2024 [30][37] 3. Strategic Cooperation with 星动纪元 - The partnership aims to commercialize humanoid robots in logistics, enhancing operational efficiency and addressing industry challenges [40][41] - The collaboration is expected to lead to innovative solutions that integrate technology and logistics, driving industry advancements [41][42] 4. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.27 billion, 3.27 billion, and 4.35 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 62.85%, 44.05%, and 33.04% [7][56] - The report highlights a significant improvement in profitability, with net profits expected to rise sharply in the coming years [7][56]