4Q25货币政策执行报告点评：新发贷款利率有望低位企稳，扩内需目标明确

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the banking sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry in the near term [6]. Core Insights - The central bank continues to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery. The report emphasizes the need to monitor domestic and international economic conditions closely for potential adjustments in policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions [1][9]. - The average weighted interest rate for new loans dropped to 3.15% in December 2025, with expectations for further stabilization at low levels. This adjustment reflects a shift in focus from reducing financing costs to maintaining them at manageable levels, which is crucial for the health of the banking system [2][3]. - The report highlights a structural focus on expanding domestic demand, with financial support for key areas expected to strengthen. The central bank plans to collaborate with the Ministry of Finance to implement policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment [3][12]. Summary by Sections Monetary Policy - The report reiterates the commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy, aiming to keep liquidity ample and social financing conditions relatively loose. It emphasizes the importance of aligning monetary supply growth with economic growth and price stability [8][9]. Interest Rates - The report notes a further narrowing of the decline in new loan interest rates, with the average for corporate loans at 3.10% and personal housing loans remaining stable at 3.06%. This trend is expected to alleviate pressure on banks' net interest margins [2][4]. Structural Support - The report introduces new measures to support domestic demand, including a focus on structural monetary policy tools. It highlights the importance of fiscal and monetary policy coordination to enhance the effectiveness of measures aimed at stimulating consumption and investment [3][12]. Banking Sector Dynamics - The analysis indicates that the outflow of deposits does not significantly impact the overall liquidity of the financial system, with a shift towards diversified funding sources for banks. This change is expected to support the growth of banks' wealth management and fund distribution services [4][10]. - The implementation of a one-time credit repair policy is expected to benefit personal loan issuance by improving banks' ability to assess creditworthiness and support borrowers with repayment capacity [4][12].