格林大华期货早盘提示：钢材-20260212

Group 1 - The investment rating for the steel industry is "down, volatile" [1] Group 2 - The core view is that the steel market is expected to show a short - term volatile trend with strong support below, and investors are advised to hold a light position or be out of the market during the holiday [1] Group 3 Market Review - On Wednesday, rebar and hot - rolled coils closed down, and they also closed down at night [1] Important Information - In January, the production and sales of new - energy vehicles in China increased by 2.5% and 0.1% year - on - year respectively [1] - The total sales of 16 key real - estate developers in January 2026 were 70.263 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 12.8% and a month - on - month decrease of 50.9% [1] - In January 2026, the national consumer price index rose 0.2% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month [1] - The Indonesian government significantly cut the quota of the world's largest nickel mine, Weda Bay Nickel. Its production quota this year is only 12 million tons, much lower than the adjusted 42 million tons in 2025. Indonesia plans to cut the nickel - mine mining quota to about 260 million tons this year, lower than last year's 379 million tons [1] - Dezhou City issued an orange warning for heavy air pollution on February 11, 2026, and launched a level - II emergency response on February 12 [1] Market Logic - On February 11, the price of Shanghai Zhongtian rebar was 3,180 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The spot market is basically closed near the Spring Festival, waiting for post - holiday demand recovery [1] Trading Strategy - The short - term trend is expected to be volatile with strong support below. It is recommended to hold a light position or be out of the market during the holiday [1]