HTSC·2026-02-12 02:25Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that the server CPU market is experiencing supply shortages due to increased demand driven by AI advancements and cloud computing needs. The delivery cycle for some CPU models may extend up to 6 months [1] - The rapid development of Agentic AI is expected to significantly increase the demand for CPUs, as these systems require more computational power for tasks such as database retrieval and external tool calls [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of CPU in AI systems, predicting that the number of tasks executed by agents will grow from 44 billion in 2025 to 415 trillion by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 524% [3] Summary by Sections Demand 1: Replacement Cycle and AI Demand - The general server market is currently in a 3-5 year replacement cycle, with significant growth in server procurement driven by the rise of remote work and online services during 2020-2021. The global shipment of general servers is expected to grow by 13% in 2024 and 8% in 2025, supporting a robust CPU market [2] Demand 2: Agentic AI Driving CPU Growth - Agentic AI, which integrates large language models and decision orchestration, is expected to create a new wave of demand for CPUs. The report cites a study indicating that CPU performance may become a bottleneck in Agentic AI systems, with tool processing delays accounting for up to 90.6% of total latency [3] Supply: Insufficient Advanced Process Capacity - Intel is facing supply shortages due to inadequate capacity planning for advanced processes, with shortages expected to persist until 2026. The company is prioritizing server CPU supply, but adjustments will not be completed until the end of Q1 2026 [4] Key Recommendations - The report recommends stocks such as Haiguang Information (688041 CH) with a target price of 291.00 and Lanke Technology (688008 CH) with a target price of 178.80, both rated as "Buy" [8][19]