容知日新(688768):首次覆盖报告:工业智能运维龙头,双轮驱动成长凸显

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of 76.76 CNY [4][10]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in industrial equipment intelligent operation and maintenance solutions, benefiting from the release of downstream digital transformation demands, with growth momentum continuously strengthening [2]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 687 million, 839 million, and 1,047 million CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 137 million, 178 million, and 239 million CNY for the same years [17][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The industrial equipment status monitoring and fault diagnosis system is expected to see revenue growth driven by increasing digitalization and intelligent transformation in various industries, with a projected revenue growth rate of 18.3%, 23%, and 25% from 2025 to 2027 [14][16]. - The software, self-manufactured sensors, and subscription-based diagnostic services are anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue, with expected growth rates of 15%, 17%, and 25% from 2025 to 2027 [15][16]. 2. Valuation Analysis - The report utilizes both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 67.64 billion CNY based on a 38x PE for 2026 and a 9x PS for the same year [18][22]. - The average PE of comparable companies for 2026 is noted to be 30.8x, indicating a strong market position for the company [22][24].