Guoxin Securities·2026-02-12 09:17Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in A-shares has outperformed the broader market since February, with the textile manufacturing index rising by 3.6% and the brand apparel index by 2.0% [11] - The Hong Kong textile and apparel index has increased by 4.4% since February, also outperforming the market [11] - Notable companies with significant stock price increases include Under Armour (14.9%), Amer Sports (9.7%), and Jiangnan Buyi (9.6%) [11] Brand Apparel Insights - In December, the year-on-year growth of clothing retail sales was 0.6%, with a slowdown in growth compared to previous months [5] - January saw a 32.5% decline in operating income for sports retailer BaoSheng International, attributed to the timing of the Spring Festival [5] - E-commerce sales in January rebounded, driven by promotional activities and pre-holiday purchases, with outdoor apparel leading growth at 17% year-on-year [5] - Key brands showing strong growth in the sports apparel category include Lululemon (47%), Descente (29%), and Adidas (16%) [5] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports increased by 8.3% year-on-year in January, while footwear exports rose by 7.8% [5] - The macroeconomic environment shows mixed signals, with PMI in Indonesia and India rising, while Vietnam's PMI slightly decreased but remains above 50 [5] - Wool prices have increased by 15.3% year-to-date, with a year-on-year increase of 54.9% as of February 5 [5] - Companies like RuHong and GuangYue are experiencing revenue growth due to order continuity and optimized production structures [5] Annual Performance Forecasts - Several companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Bailong Dongfang and Tianhong International, have issued profit forecasts indicating over 40% growth in net profit [2] - Factors contributing to this growth include full order books, improved capacity utilization, and declining raw material costs [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brands that are likely to benefit from the Spring Festival sales surge and the performance elasticity of upstream suppliers [5] - High-end consumer recovery is anticipated, particularly in the light luxury sports and outdoor segments [5] - Key recommendations include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are well-positioned to capture market growth [5] Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Anta Sports is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 4.72 for 2025 and 4.98 for 2026 [6] - Li Ning is also rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 1.01 for 2025 and 1.08 for 2026 [6] - Other companies such as Xtep International and 361 Degrees are similarly rated "Outperform" with positive earnings forecasts [6]