特殊再融资债供给再加速

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report Group 2: Core View - The report tracks the supply and trading of local government bonds, including the issuance rhythm, pricing, and secondary - market trading characteristics in the week from February 2nd to February 6th, 2026 [2][3] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Primary Supply Rhythm - Last week, local government bonds issued a total of 579.7 billion yuan, including 134.3 billion yuan of new special bonds and 325.6 billion yuan of refinancing special bonds. "Replacing implicit debts" and "ordinary/project income" are the main investment areas of special bond funds. As of now, the issuance of special refinancing special bonds in February has reached 363.7 billion yuan, accounting for 40.3% of the monthly local bond issuance scale [2][9] - The average issuance interest rates of 10 - year, 20 - year, and 30 - year local bonds have all increased marginally. The spreads between the issuance interest rates of 30 - year, 20 - year, and 10 - year local bonds and the same - term treasury bonds have widened to 21.1BP, 20.9BP, and 16.7BP respectively [2][16] - In February, Jiangxi, Guangdong, Henan and other provinces are the main regions for local bond issuance. Jiangxi issued 69.1 billion yuan of 7 - 10 - year local bonds. The average coupon rates of local government bonds in Tibet and Tianjin are relatively high, both above 2.45% [2][19] 2. Secondary Trading Characteristics - Last week, the 7 - 10 - year and over - 10 - year local bond indexes decreased by 0.06% and increased by 0.02% respectively compared with the previous week, performing worse than the same - term treasury bonds [3][21] - The trading activity of government bonds in Guangdong, Fujian, and Hubei has increased, with the weekly trading volume increasing by 71, 29, and 22 transactions respectively. The trading volume of local bonds in Sichuan has decreased significantly [3][21] - The average trading term of Guangxi government bonds has been significantly extended, from the previous week's level to 12.7 years, a 10.5 - year increase. The average trading term of Shandong government bonds is relatively the longest, at 27.0 years. The average trading yields of Shandong and Zhejiang government bonds are both above 2.3% [3][21]