人民币升破6.9

Market Analysis - The A-share market is experiencing a consolidation phase, with the technology sector leading the gains. On February 12, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05% to 4134.02 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.86% and the ChiNext Index by 1.32%. The total trading volume for the day was 2.16 trillion yuan, compared to 2 trillion yuan the previous day [6][7]. - The technology sector is showing strong performance, particularly in AI computing concepts, with companies like Dazhi Technology recording four consecutive trading limits. Additionally, the resource sector is also on the rise, with small metal concepts seeing gains due to a decrease in Indonesia's nickel production quota for 2026 [7][8]. Currency and Policy Impact - The continuous strength of the RMB is driving the spring market rally, with the USD/CNY exchange rate breaking through 6.9. This upward trend in the RMB is contributing to a relatively strong market, despite a decrease in trading volume as the Chinese New Year approaches [7][8]. - The report anticipates that the spring market will continue, with a focus on policy and event-driven sensitive themes. Key sectors expected to perform well include photovoltaic technology, commercial aerospace, and non-ferrous metals [8]. Bond Market - The bond market is showing narrow fluctuations, with the 30-year main contract down by 0.03% and the 10-year contract up by 0.02%. The People's Bank of China has conducted a net injection of 448 billion yuan, indicating a stable liquidity expectation [12][9]. - The overall sentiment in the bond market remains positive, supported by a moderately loose monetary policy and ongoing demand for bond investments [12][9]. Commodity Market - The commodity market is mixed, with some prices rising and others falling. Lithium carbonate prices have increased by 3.66%, driven by low inventory levels, while other commodities like palm oil have seen declines [12][13]. - The report highlights that the low inventory of lithium carbonate, currently at 107,056 tons, may provide upward price momentum in the future, especially as demand is expected to grow post-holiday [12][13]. Trading Hotspots - Recent hot trading varieties include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, and robotics, all of which are supported by government policies and technological advancements [14][15]. - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy in technology and consumer sectors, with a focus on low-cost opportunities as the market continues to evolve [16].