Core Insights - The report indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook for February, with the index expected to stabilize and oscillate around the highs and lows of January, suggesting a controlled approach to position management during the holiday season [3][8] - The mid-cap blue-chip style is expected to continue, with a focus on adjusting positions rather than passive defense, particularly in the agricultural and chemical sectors [3][8] Industry Strategy - In the agricultural sector, the report highlights that pig inventory is at a low point, with price bottoms being tested ahead of the holiday season. The market's pessimistic expectations regarding pig prices are seen as overestimated, with a potential recovery in prices anticipated as inventory levels stabilize [5][8] - The report notes that the average weight of pigs post-slaughter has dropped to approximately 88.3 kg, indicating limited downward price movement potential. The report predicts a price turning point in Q2 2026, with the average price for the year expected to exceed market expectations [5][8] - The report emphasizes the military industry, highlighting the resonance of domestic and international demand, with significant investment opportunities anticipated as the "14th Five-Year Plan" unfolds, particularly in unmanned and deep-sea technologies [6][8] Related Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks in the agricultural sector include Muyuan Foods (002714), Wens Foodstuff Group (300498), and Haida Group (002311), with a buy rating suggested [5][8] - In the military sector, recommended stocks include Huaxin Technology (688281) and Guobo Electronics (688375), with a buy rating suggested [6][8]
指数震荡偏强,控仓过节不慌