冠通期货资讯早间报-20260213

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the overnight market trends, important news, and financial market developments across various sectors, including commodities, stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange. It highlights significant price movements, policy changes, and economic data that may impact investment decisions. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - Market Trends - International precious metal futures tumbled, with COMEX gold futures down 3.08% at $4941.4 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 10.62% at $75.01 per ounce [4]. - U.S. oil and Brent oil futures declined, with U.S. oil down 2.66% at $62.91 per barrel and Brent oil down 2.61% at $67.59 per barrel [5]. - London base metals all fell, with LME aluminum down 0.18%, lead down 0.45%, zinc down 0.73%, copper down 2.36%, nickel down 3.52%, and tin down 3.70% [5]. - Domestic futures contracts showed mixed results, with caustic soda up over 3%, soybean and double - gum paper up over 2%, and soybean meal up nearly 1%. Low - sulfur fuel oil, p - xylene, and asphalt were down over 1% [6]. Important News Macro News - U.S. Treasury Secretary Besent agreed to have the Senate Banking Committee investigate Fed Chair Powell [9]. - Maersk adjusted peak - season surcharges for Far East - Asia to Middle East routes [10]. - U.S. initial jobless claims decreased by 5000 to 227,000, slightly higher than expected [11]. - UBS believes future U.S. inflation data may allow the Fed to continue its rate - cut plan [12]. - The probability of La Nina turning into ENSO - neutral from February to April 2026 is 60% [12]. - U.S. President Trump said the U.S. "must" reach an agreement with Iran [12]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Domestic soda ash inventories increased by 0.61% to 1.588 million tons [15]. - Japanese commercial crude inventories rose, while gasoline inventories fell [15]. - Malaysia's natural rubber production in December 2025 increased 37.3% month - on - month but decreased 25.1% year - on - year [15]. - Glass inventories increased 4.31% month - on - month and decreased 12.28% year - on - year [16]. - Singapore's fuel oil inventories fell, while light and middle distillate inventories rose [16]. - The IEA lowered the 2026 global oil demand growth forecast [16]. - The China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association criticized the speculation of urea guidance prices [17]. - U.S. natural gas inventories decreased, with a 4.2% year - on - year decline [18]. Metal Futures - Albemarle will suspend its Kemerton lithium hydroxide plant [20]. - China's lithium salt production in 2025 showed different trends for different types [20]. - Goldman Sachs expects a small surplus in the global zinc market this year but a shortage outside China in 2027 - 2028 [20]. - Lithium ore inventories of 32 sample traders decreased [20]. Black - Series Futures - Coal mine production and inventories decreased this week [23]. - Rebar production decreased, while inventories increased and demand declined [23]. - The average profit per ton of coke varied by region [23]. Agricultural Futures - Malaysia raised the reference price of crude palm oil in March but kept the export tariff at 9% [25]. - Argentina's soybean production forecast was raised [26]. - Malaysia's palm oil production decreased in February 1 - 10 [26]. - Malaysia's palm oil exports decreased in February 1 - 10 [28]. - The investigation of anti - dumping on Canadian rapeseed was extended [28]. - U.S. soybean export sales and shipments showed changes [28]. - Brazil's soybean production and export forecasts were adjusted [28]. Financial Market Finance - A - shares showed a narrow - range consolidation, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.05%, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.86%, and ChiNext Index up 1.32% [30]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 0.86%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.65% [30]. - New public fund issuance this year exceeded 200 billion yuan [32]. - The margin trading balance increased by about 800 billion yuan in the past year [32]. - The China Securities Index Company will launch new indices [32]. - Shuangliang Energy was warned by the Shanghai Stock Exchange for its SpaceX order disclosure [33]. Industry - The market regulator issued a compliance guide for the auto industry's price behavior [34]. - The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission established a central enterprise "AI +" embodied intelligence industry community [34]. - Three departments promoted the high - quality development of low - altitude insurance [35]. - The cyber department cracked down on the spread of false AI - unmarked information [35]. - The central cyber office launched a special campaign to clean up the Spring Festival online environment [35]. - January's passenger car retail sales decreased, while new - energy vehicle exports increased [35]. - The "Movie +" consumption pilot and the "2026 Movie Economy Promotion Year" were launched [36]. - The Beijing market regulator约谈ed third - party train ticket sales platforms [36]. - China's renewable energy power generation and new - installed capacity increased in 2025 [36]. - China imposed anti - subsidy measures on EU dairy products [37]. - Multiple regions required food delivery platforms to stop "involution - style" competition [39]. - Chinese scientists built an international leading quantum key distribution network [39]. - China launched "one arrow with seven stars" in the South China Sea [40]. Overseas - U.S. President Trump emphasized the need to reach an agreement with Iran [41]. - Trump revoked the EPA's "greenhouse gas endangerment finding" in 2009 [41]. - The U.S. Senate Democrats blocked a homeland security funding bill [41]. - The investigation of Fed Chair Powell will be transferred to the Senate Banking Committee [42]. - U.S. initial jobless claims decreased but were higher than expected [44]. - Russia proposed an economic partnership with the U.S. [44]. - The U.S. and Japan are close to finalizing the first projects of a $550 - billion investment fund [44]. - South Korea will end the capital gains tax exemption for multi - property owners [44]. - The Reserve Bank of Australia may raise interest rates if inflation persists [44]. - The UK's Q4 2025 GDP growth was lower than expected [45]. International Stock Markets - U.S. stocks fell, with the Dow down 1.34%, S&P 500 down 1.57%, and Nasdaq down 2.03% [46]. - European stocks showed mixed results, with the German DAX down 0.01%, French CAC40 up 0.33%, and UK FTSE 100 down 0.67% [48]. - South Korea's KOSPI rose 3.13% to a new high, while Japan's Nikkei 225 fell slightly [48]. - South Korea tightened delisting rules [48]. - Nuveen will acquire Schroders for nearly $13.6 billion [49]. - SoftBank's Q3 2025 net profit was lower than expected [49]. - Kioxia's Q3 2025 profit increased, and its full - year forecast exceeded expectations [49]. - Hermes' Q4 revenue and annual operating profit were strong [49]. Commodities - International precious metal futures declined, with silver dropping more significantly [51]. - Oil prices fell due to increased global risk aversion and supply surplus [51]. - London base metals all declined [51]. - The Thailand Futures Exchange suspended silver online futures trading [52]. Bonds - The Chinese inter - bank bond market was warm, with bond yields falling [52]. - Real estate enterprise bond financing increased in 2025 [52]. - U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board [54]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the U.S. dollar rose, and the dollar index fell slightly [55].