BOCOM International·2026-02-13 04:25Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the battery industry, including CATL (宁德时代), EVE Energy (亿纬锂能), Guoxuan High-Tech (国轩高科), and others, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance [3][4]. Core Insights - In January 2026, the installed capacity of power batteries in China experienced a seasonal decline, with a total of 42.0 GWh, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year increase but a 57.2% month-on-month decrease due to the Spring Festival [4]. - Exports of batteries remained robust, with a total export of 24.1 GWh in January, marking a 38.3% year-on-year increase, although it was down 26.0% month-on-month [4]. - The global power battery market is expected to continue its high growth trajectory in 2025, with a projected increase of 31.7% to 1,187 GWh, and Chinese manufacturers are expected to gain market share [4]. - The performance of leading companies in the lithium battery supply chain is showing signs of recovery, with significant profit increases forecasted for several key players [4]. Summary by Sections Installed Capacity and Exports - In January 2026, the installed capacity of power batteries was 42.0 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 8.4% and a month-on-month decrease of 57.2% [4]. - The export volume for batteries was 24.1 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 38.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 26.0% [4]. Market Trends - The global power battery market is projected to grow by 31.7% in 2025, reaching 1,187 GWh, with Chinese manufacturers increasing their market share [4]. - CATL and BYD's global market shares are expected to rise to 30% and 7.9%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0 and 3.8 percentage points [4]. Company Performance - Key companies in the lithium battery sector are expected to report significant profit increases, with Guoxuan High-Tech forecasting a net profit growth of 107% to 149% [4]. - The overall performance of the lithium battery supply chain is entering a recovery phase, with leading companies showing early signs of performance elasticity [4].