Soochow Securities·2026-02-13 05:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601) [1] Core Views - The company is viewed as a leading insurance player with a low valuation, indicating potential for value recovery [1] - The report highlights the company's stable growth trajectory and its ability to provide consistent returns to shareholders through dividends [8] - The implementation of the "North Star Plan" is expected to enhance the company's competitive position and growth prospects in the insurance market [8] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - China Pacific Insurance is a leading comprehensive insurance group in China, focusing on life insurance as its main business while developing a balanced portfolio across various segments [14] - The company has a diversified ownership structure, with state-owned enterprises playing a significant role, which enhances operational efficiency [16] 2. Group Performance - The company has achieved stable growth in operating profits, with a return on equity (ROE) consistently above 10%, outperforming peers [8][21] - The internal value of the company is expected to grow steadily, with projections for 2025-2027 indicating increases of 8.1%, 8.3%, and 9.2% respectively [8] 3. Life Insurance Business - The life insurance segment has shown strong growth, with new business value (NBV) increasing significantly, leading the industry in growth rates [8][23] - The focus on bancassurance channels has resulted in a rapid increase in the proportion of new business from this segment, which is now a core growth driver [8][23] 4. Property Insurance Business - The property insurance segment has maintained profitability despite structural adjustments, with a stable growth rate in premiums [8][27] - The company has consistently achieved underwriting profitability, with a combined ratio (COR) that remains competitive within the industry [8][27] 5. Asset Management - The company has a robust investment strategy, with a high proportion of bond holdings and a stable investment return rate, placing it among the upper tier of listed insurance companies [8][31] - The net investment yield has averaged 4.3% from 2020 to 2024, indicating strong performance relative to peers [8][31] 6. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2023 to 2027 show a recovery trend, with expected revenues of 323.9 billion yuan in 2023 and projected growth to 439.7 billion yuan by 2027 [1] - The projected net profit for 2024 is 44.96 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 64.95% [1]