计算机行业研究:再谈国内算力斜率陡峭
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2026-02-13 06:08

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the industry, suggesting a potential for significant growth in the coming months [6][44]. Core Insights - The report highlights a rapid release of computing power demand driven by the dual forces of training and inference, with 2026 identified as a pivotal year for this transition [6]. - Major internet companies are intensifying their competition in AI, leading to a surge in demand for high-quality, multi-modal models, which in turn is expected to drive substantial growth in computing power requirements [11][25]. - The supply side is expected to improve structurally, with domestic computing power resources becoming more abundant, thus supporting the anticipated demand explosion [6][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Rapid Release of Computing Power Demand - The "arms race" in large models continues unabated, with leading internet firms like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent releasing new models with trillions of parameters, enhancing their competitive edge [11][12]. - The demand for inference computing power is rising at an unexpected rate, with significant user growth reported for AI applications, particularly the Doubao app, which reached 226 million monthly active users by December 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of over 200% [6][25]. 2. Supply Side Improvements and Domestic Production Acceleration - The approval of NVIDIA's H200 AI chips for the Chinese market is expected to alleviate computing power shortages for major internet firms, facilitating faster model iterations [32]. - Domestic computing power chips have reached a performance level that is now considered "good enough," with significant advancements in local chip development and deployment [33]. 3. Full-Chain Inflation in Domestic Computing Power - The report predicts that the computing power industry will enter a "full-chain inflation" cycle in 2026, with growth expected across various segments including AIDC, cloud services, and supporting power equipment [38]. - Major tech companies are projected to increase their capital expenditures significantly, with estimates suggesting that the four largest tech firms in Silicon Valley will spend up to $650 billion in 2026 [40]. 4. Related Companies - The report lists several companies as relevant to the industry, including Dongyangguang, Hanwha, Haiguang Information, Wangsu Technology, and others, indicating a broad spectrum of potential investment opportunities [4][44].

计算机行业研究:再谈国内算力斜率陡峭 - Reportify