NBHX(SZ:002048) Western Securities·2026-02-13 07:20Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Ningbo Huaxiang with a target price corresponding to a PE of 25 times for 2026, leading to a target market value of 40.239 billion yuan [1][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to improve its profitability after divesting its loss-making European assets and is entering the humanoid robot sector, indicating significant future growth potential. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 519 million, 1.610 billion, and 1.756 billion yuan respectively [1][15]. - The report addresses key market concerns, including the impact of declining joint venture customer sales on performance and the outlook for sustained growth. The company has been expanding its domestic brand customer base, which may offset the negative effects of joint venture customer sales decline [1][2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Ningbo Huaxiang has been focused on the automotive parts industry for nearly 40 years and is undergoing continuous business transformation. The company has expanded its commercial footprint through both organic growth and acquisitions [24]. - The company has a diversified customer base, including major domestic and international automotive manufacturers, which has led to a decrease in customer concentration risk [25][60]. Financial Performance - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12% from 2020 to 2024. However, net profits have been declining since 2021 due to losses from overseas subsidiaries [32][33]. - The projected revenue for 2023 is 23.236 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.4%. The expected revenue for 2024 is 26.324 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 13.3% [3]. Business Segments - The company is actively expanding into the intelligent chassis and humanoid robot sectors, which are expected to drive future growth. The intelligent chassis business is positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in electric vehicles and smart driving technologies [2][49]. - The company has established a joint venture with Zhiyuan Robotics to collaborate on various aspects of the humanoid robot industry, indicating a strategic move towards becoming a leader in the PEEK material sector [2][24]. Market Trends - The automotive industry is experiencing stable growth, driven by increasing consumer demand for personalized and comfortable vehicles. The global automotive interior and exterior market is projected to grow steadily, with a CAGR of approximately 4.63% from 2024 to 2035 [55][58]. - The metal parts sector is also expanding, with a projected market size of 109.6 billion USD in 2024, driven by the trends of electrification and lightweighting in vehicles [64][68]. Future Outlook - The company plans to raise up to 2.921 billion yuan through a private placement to fund projects aimed at expanding its production capacity and enhancing its technological capabilities in the intelligent chassis and humanoid robot sectors [49][51]. - The divestment of European assets is expected to significantly improve profit margins, and the company is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the automotive and robotics industries [2][15].