Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [11][23]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of real-time data infrastructure in China, having established a competitive barrier through its deep engagement in the asset management industry and diversified industry expansion [2][24]. - The real-time data processing market in China is in a high-growth phase, with a projected CAGR of 46.1% from 2020 to 2024, and expected to reach 50.5 billion yuan by 2029 [11][51]. - The company has a market share of 3.4% in the real-time data infrastructure and analytics market, ranking fourth, and holds the top position in the asset management sector with an 11.6% market share [27][32]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections (in million RMB) for 2024 to 2027 are as follows: 632, 1183, 2177, and 3311, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 87%, 84%, and 52% respectively [4][11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be -84, -144, 101, and 311 million RMB for the same period, with corresponding EPS of -0.28, -0.45, 0.31, and 0.97 [4][11]. - The target market capitalization is set at 33.8 billion HKD, with a target price of 104.78 HKD per share [11][23]. Business Segmentation - The company started in the asset management sector, providing real-time data solutions across the entire asset management lifecycle, and has expanded into diverse industries such as financial services, urban management, production management, and telecommunications [24][42]. - Revenue from the asset management sector is expected to grow at rates of 35%, 30%, and 20% from 2025 to 2027, while diversified industry revenue is projected to grow at 120%, 105%, and 60% during the same period [16][17]. Market Dynamics - The penetration rate of real-time data processing in China is currently below 4%, indicating significant growth potential [11][51]. - The company has developed over 300 modular solutions, allowing for flexible adaptation to various industry needs, enhancing its competitive edge [35][36]. User Growth and Revenue - The number of paying customers increased from 182 to 232 between 2022 and 2024, with an ARPU growth from 1.58 million to 2.72 million RMB, reflecting a CAGR of 13% and 31% respectively [46][48]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow rapidly due to the promotion of its solutions and increased brand recognition, despite currently operating at a slight loss due to high initial investments [48][50].
迅策(3317):数据为王,打造中国版 Palantir
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-02-13 10:30