华虹半导体（01347）：——华虹半导体（1347.HK）2025年四季度业绩点评：4Q25业绩符合指引，1Q26毛利率指引环增，Fab5收购有序推进

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong Semiconductor (1347.HK) [6] Core Views - The company's 4Q25 performance met guidance with revenue of $660 million, a year-over-year increase of 22.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.9%, driven by increased wafer shipments and ASP growth [2] - The report is optimistic about the demand for BCD and storage, expecting strong growth in 2026, with a cautious outlook on ASP [3] - The acquisition of Fab 5 is progressing smoothly, and the company is expected to continue expanding its production capacity [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 4Q25, the gross margin was 13%, aligning with the company's guidance of 12% to 14%, with a year-over-year increase of 1.6 percentage points [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in 4Q25 was $17.5 million, below the market expectation of $37.4 million [2] - For the full year 2025, the company achieved revenue of $2.402 billion, a year-over-year increase of 19.9%, with a gross margin of 11.8% [2] Market Outlook - The report highlights that AI-driven demand is boosting revenue in the analog and power management segments, with a year-over-year increase of 41% in 4Q25 [3] - The embedded NVM revenue grew by 31% year-over-year, while standalone NVM revenue increased by 23% year-over-year, indicating a favorable market for storage [3] Production Capacity and Guidance - The production capacity for 8-inch wafers reached 486,000 pieces per month in 4Q25, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.9% [4] - The company expects 1Q26 revenue to be between $650 million and $660 million, with a gross margin guidance of 13% to 15% [4] - The report anticipates that the company will maintain a high utilization rate in 2026, supported by ongoing capacity expansion and price stability [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2026 is adjusted to $142 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 158.3% [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 3.3x for 2026, with expectations of market share growth driven by localized trends and process improvements [5]