2026年度策略:强者恒强的千亿赛道,关注商业航天等新兴产业带来的发展机遇
Soochow Securities·2026-02-14 11:41

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential in the testing services industry, particularly driven by emerging sectors such as commercial aerospace and new technologies [4][6] - The testing services sector is closely linked to macroeconomic growth, with a projected global market size of approximately 2.3 trillion RMB by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of about 6% from 2021 to 2024 [4][24] - In China, the testing services market is expected to reach around 487.6 billion RMB by 2024, with a CAGR of approximately 10.5% from 2015 to 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory [5][24] Industry Overview - The testing, inspection, and certification (TIC) industry serves various sectors including consumer goods, industrial products, and pharmaceuticals, covering all stages from R&D to production and distribution [16][24] - The industry is characterized by a large market space and stable growth, with demand closely tied to macroeconomic trends and government regulations [20][24] - Emerging technologies such as AI, electric vehicles, and commercial aerospace are expected to create new testing demands, raising the entry barriers for new players [6][20] Company Performance - The report analyzes 19 listed companies in the testing services sector, highlighting their revenue and profit performance, with notable companies including Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Su Testing [2][11] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the testing services sector in China reported a revenue of 30.4 billion RMB, a decline of 7% year-on-year, but a growth of 3% when excluding companies heavily involved in medical testing [5][57] - Leading companies such as Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Su Testing demonstrated superior performance, with revenue growth rates of 7%, 12%, and 9% respectively, significantly outpacing the industry average [5][62] Market Dynamics - The testing services market is experiencing a structural shift, with a trend towards consolidation as larger firms gain market share and smaller firms face challenges [44][50] - The report notes that the majority of testing institutions in China are small and micro-sized, which limits their ability to withstand economic pressures [50][51] - Government policies are increasingly supporting the marketization and consolidation of testing institutions, aiming to enhance the overall quality and efficiency of the industry [51][53] Financial Metrics - The report indicates that the average gross margin for the testing services sector has improved, reaching 26.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a recovery in profitability [63] - The accounts receivable turnover days have increased from 90 days in 2019 to 176 days in 2025, indicating a slowdown in cash flow and potential credit risks within the industry [67][68] - The report highlights that the proportion of accounts receivable in relation to revenue has risen to 50%, suggesting increasing challenges in managing receivables [71]