复盘系列（四）：春节之后

• The report analyzes the post-Spring Festival performance of various indices from 2007 to 2025, highlighting structural differences in returns and win rates between small/micro-cap indices and large-cap indices. Specifically, the Wind Micro-Cap Index and CSI 2000 Index showed the highest win rates (89.5%) and median returns (11.22% and 8.47%, respectively) over 20 days post-festival, outperforming indices like CSI 300 and Wind All A Index[2][8][13] - Liquidity recovery post-festival is identified as a key driver for the outperformance of small/micro-cap indices. The Wind Micro-Cap Index exhibited the highest increases in average daily turnover over T+5, T+10, and T+20 intervals (30.7%, 42.7%, and 52.9%, respectively), followed by the CSI 2000 Index (26.4%, 37.0%, and 51.7%). In contrast, the CSI 300 Index showed relatively lower turnover growth (18.9%, 23.1%, and 30.5%)[8][17][18] - Industry-wise, growth and cyclical sectors performed better post-festival, while financial sectors underperformed. The electronics sector had the highest median return over 20 days (9.10%) with a win rate of 84.2%, followed by the environmental protection sector with a win rate of 94.7% and a median return of 7.02%. Other strong-performing sectors included textiles and apparel, paper and packaging, and non-metallic materials, all with win rates above 80% and median returns exceeding 5%[2][19][24]