春节海内外几大关注点

Group 1: Domestic Economic Trends - The extended Spring Festival holiday is expected to boost travel, tourism, and consumption significantly, with a projected increase in passenger volume during the Spring Festival travel rush[2] - In 2026, the Spring Festival is anticipated to set five new records for travel intensity, with a notable increase in self-driving trips and strong demand for tourism[9] - The sales of commercial housing during the Spring Festival are expected to show a positive year-on-year growth of 5.2%[4] Group 2: AI and Technological Advancements - The year 2026 is projected to be a pivotal year for the widespread adoption of AI consumer terminals, marking the beginning of competitive AI applications[2] - The introduction of AI technologies during the Spring Festival gala has enhanced public awareness of embodied intelligence, further supporting the notion of 2026 as a key year for AI application competition[34] Group 3: International Trade and Currency - The repeal of Trump-era tariffs is expected to lead to a moderate appreciation of the RMB, with the current tariff rate on Chinese goods at 28.93%, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points from late 2025[4] - The global trade tensions are easing, which is likely to support a resilient growth rate in China's export sector[4] Group 4: Inflation and Economic Data - Inflation rates in the US and Japan are lower than expected, indicating a downward trend, with the US CPI at 2.4% and Japan's at 1.5%[6] - The US GDP growth for Q4 2025 was below expectations, primarily due to temporary impacts from government shutdowns, reflecting a growth rate of 1.4%[6]