国信证券晨会纪要-20260224

Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The report highlights three major industry opportunities for the 2026 bull market: 1) The technology sector led by AI, with a shift from hardware to application expansion, focusing on humanoid robots and AI+ fields 2) The "double low" characteristics of real estate and liquor industries, indicating potential recovery as valuations and institutional holdings are at historical lows 3) Changes in supply-demand dynamics in resource products, supported by global factors, enhancing the value of resource allocations [8][10][11] Group 2: AI Industry - The AI industry is expected to transition from hardware to application, with significant growth in sectors such as governance, finance, manufacturing, education, and healthcare, driven by policy support and technological advancements [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of the AI application acceleration, particularly in edge computing and AI+ related fields, as well as the continued investment in the computing power supply chain [9] Group 3: Nuclear Fusion Industry - The nuclear fusion sector is identified as a key area for future energy systems, with its potential for near-infinite energy, high energy density, and minimal environmental impact, making it a strategic focus for development [12][13] - The report outlines the challenges of achieving controlled nuclear fusion, including the extreme conditions required for the reaction and the need for advanced materials and technologies [13][14] - Various approaches to achieving nuclear fusion are discussed, with magnetic confinement (Tokamak) being the most mature and commercially viable option [14] - The report forecasts significant market potential for nuclear fusion, estimating an investment scale of around 200 billion yuan during the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans, with a total market space of 8-10 trillion yuan if fusion power plants replace 20% of China's total electricity generation [16] Group 4: Financial Strategies - The report suggests a strategic asset allocation of 35% in equities, 25% in bonds, 25% in commodities, and 15% in cash, indicating a recovery phase in the economic cycle [28] - It highlights the importance of emerging markets as a diversification strategy, particularly in the context of high valuations in developed markets [29] Group 5: REITs Market - The REITs market is showing signs of recovery, with significant inflows into commercial real estate REITs and a notable increase in the number of public offerings [21][22][25] - The report notes that data center, consumer, and energy REITs have performed well, indicating a positive trend in these sectors [24]