Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-02-24 06:24Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the defense and military industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [4][28]. Core Insights - The defense industry is expected to see continuous improvement in fundamentals and orders, driven by the steady advancement of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and increased military spending intentions from the US and Europe due to recent geopolitical events [4]. - The report highlights that the military industry is entering a new cycle of quality improvement and growth, with expectations for enhanced delivery and performance recovery in the first half of 2026 [4]. - Key sectors to focus on include commercial aerospace, the dual-engine industry (gas turbines and commercial engines), and controllable nuclear fusion [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand growth and technological advancements in driving investment opportunities within the military sector [4]. Market Performance - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 2.17%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 0.41% [5]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense sector included Yingliu Co. (up 24.87%), TeFa Information (up 22.73%), and China Power (up 18.32%) [12]. - Conversely, the bottom five performers included Shenjian Co. (down 15.22%) and Aerospace Engineering (down 10.61%) [13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 97.40, indicating it is at a historically high level, with a valuation percentile of 75.55% since January 2014 [20]. - The report notes a slight differentiation in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment showing relatively high PE valuations since 2020 [20]. Key Investment Targets - Recommended stocks for domestic demand include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (中航沈飞), Feilihua (菲利华), and Huazhong CNC (华秦科技) [4]. - For external growth opportunities, stocks such as Ruichuang Micro-Nano (睿创微纳) and Aerospace Electronics (航天电子) are highlighted [4].