固收专题:聚焦中短久期,挖掘票息价值
East Money Securities·2026-02-25 08:25

Group 1 - The current interest rate strategy shows certain advantages, with the value of credit bonds gradually emerging. Since 2025, the bond market has maintained low volatility, and since early 2026, it has steadily recovered, with stable liquidity. The potential for capital gains in credit bonds is relatively limited, but the certainty of interest income is more prominent, highlighting the relative advantage of interest rate strategies. Recently, credit bond sentiment has improved, and spreads have slightly recovered, with medium to short-duration varieties providing stable interest contributions while controlling net value fluctuations, thus demonstrating a favorable cost-performance ratio in the current phase [9][12][31] - In the context of continuous central bank support for liquidity, the price of funds remains relatively low, making credit bonds attractive in terms of interest income. From the current environment, credit bond investments are more suitable to return to allocation logic, with interest rate strategies as the core. The short-end arbitrage space still exists, and under the premise of controllable funding costs, medium to short-duration varieties have a relatively stable rolling income base [12][31] Group 2 - The distribution of urban investment bonds shows that Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shandong have the largest stock sizes, with 27,995.77 billion, 22,357.20 billion, and 16,089.69 billion respectively. The head provinces are generally at a lower valuation level compared to the national average. For example, the 1-year AA-rated bonds in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are at 1.74%, below the national average of 1.75% [16][17] - The overall stock of urban investment bonds with a valuation above 2% is approximately 89,374.08 billion, with 7,252.75 billion having a remaining maturity of 3 years or less, accounting for about 8.1% of the high-yield stock. The high-yield urban investment stock is mainly concentrated in eastern provinces, while the short-duration allocable scale comes more from the central and western regions [18][19][24] Group 3 - The distribution of industrial bonds shows that high-yield resources are mainly concentrated in the real estate, non-bank financial, and construction decoration sectors. As of February 11, 2026, the stock of industrial bonds with a valuation above 2% is approximately 7.33 trillion, with a remaining maturity of 3 years or less amounting to 1.22 trillion. The industry distribution is highly concentrated, with real estate, non-bank financial, and construction decoration being the core sources of current industrial bond interest assets [31][33] - The real estate sector remains the absolute mainstay of high-yield industrial bonds, with a stock valuation above 2% reaching 1.02 trillion, of which 4,328.59 billion is allocable within 3 years. The non-bank financial sector ranks second, with a high-yield stock of approximately 940.1 billion, and 1,385 billion within 3 years, concentrated in the 2-3 year AA and AA+ levels [31][33]

固收专题:聚焦中短久期,挖掘票息价值 - Reportify