Guohai Securities·2026-02-26 00:46Group 1: Online Subscription Revenue Growth and AI Development - NetEase Cloud Music - Adjusted operating profit increased by over 30% year-on-year, indicating continuous improvement in profitability [3][4] - In 2025, revenue reached 7.759 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a more cautious operational strategy in social entertainment services [3] - The number of paid users increased, driving online music subscription revenue growth, with 2025 online music business revenue at 5.994 billion yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year [5][6] Group 2: Price Increase in Overseas MDI and Polyurethane Market Outlook - Wanhua Chemical - Major overseas manufacturers have raised MDI prices, indicating a potential price increase trend in the market [9][10] - As of February 24, 2026, domestic MDI prices were 13,900 yuan/ton, with TDI prices at 14,900 yuan/ton, showing stability compared to pre-Spring Festival levels [10] - The report anticipates a recovery in polyurethane demand post-Spring Festival, supported by low inventory levels [12] Group 3: Motorcycle Industry Analysis - Suzuki - From FY2014 to FY2024, Suzuki's motorcycle production increased from 1.799 million units to 2.042 million units, with a CAGR of approximately 1.3% [14] - The company's motorcycle revenue grew from 250.5 billion yen to 398.1 billion yen during the same period, with a CAGR of approximately 4.7% [15] - Suzuki's global motorcycle market share for FY2023 is estimated at around 4% [18] Group 4: Movie Industry Performance and Trends - The 2026 Spring Festival box office reached 5.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.9% due to high base effects [20][21] - The number of attendees during the Spring Festival was 119 million, down 36.3% year-on-year, with an average ticket price of 47.8 yuan, a decrease of 6.1% [21] - The report highlights strong performance in lower-tier markets, with a significant share of box office revenue coming from these areas [21] Group 5: Motorcycle Industry Analysis - Honda - Honda's motorcycle sales revenue increased from 1.85 trillion yen to 3.22 trillion yen from FY2015 to FY2024, with a CAGR of approximately 6.37% [25] - The company's motorcycle sales volume grew from 17.59 million units to 18.82 million units during the same period, with a CAGR of approximately 0.75% [26] - Honda's global motorcycle market share is approximately 40% [29] Group 6: Express Logistics Industry Trends - In the first eight weeks of 2026, the total express delivery volume reached 32.734 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [36][37] - YTO Express led the growth in business volume, with a year-on-year increase of 29.75% in January [38] - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the express logistics sector, anticipating steady growth in business volume [40] Group 7: Engineering Machinery - Shantui - Shantui is positioned as a leading enterprise in bulldozers, focusing on smart, high-end, and globalized products [45][46] - The company expects revenue growth driven by increased infrastructure investment in Southeast Asia and mining capital expenditure in Africa [46][47] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 15.4 billion, 17.4 billion, and 20.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.61 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan [49]