石药集团：创新兑现与国际化顺利推进

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [1][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong innovative research and development capabilities of the company, which is entering a harvest period for innovative drugs while establishing an international business development ecosystem with several significant collaborations [2][10]. - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings per share (EPS) of 48% from 2025 to 2027, with a target price set at HKD 16.58 [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be RMB 31,450.11 million in 2023, with a slight increase of 1.7% year-on-year. However, a decline of 7.8% is expected in 2024, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [4][11]. - Gross profit is forecasted to be RMB 22,177 million in 2023, with net profit expected to be RMB 5,873 million, reflecting a decrease of 3.6% [4][11]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 18.26 in 2023, increasing to 24.78 in 2024 before declining to 16.80 in 2025 [4][11]. Pipeline Overview - The company has a leading position in the oncology pipeline, with SYS6010 being the fastest progressing EGFR ADC globally, and multiple early-stage assets expected to report data in 2026 [10][14]. - In the weight loss and metabolic fields, the company has established a leading position domestically, with a strategic collaboration with AstraZeneca to develop innovative long-acting peptide drugs [10][24]. - The company has secured a total deal value of USD 18.5 billion from collaborations, including upfront payments and potential milestone payments [10][24]. Clinical Development - The report outlines several key clinical trials, including SYS6010, which is in Phase III for EGFRm NSCLC, and various other assets in different stages of development [18][20]. - The company is actively recruiting for multiple trials, with significant data expected to be released in 2026 [18][20]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic market for small nucleic acid technology, with a strong pipeline in siRNA [10][24]. - The report emphasizes the company's competitive edge in the next-generation weight loss drugs and cardiovascular metabolic therapies, supported by strategic partnerships with multinational corporations [10][24].