Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-02-26 09:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Industrial Fulian (601138.SH) with a target price of 57.39 CNY, projecting an EPS of 1.78 CNY for 2024, 3.15 CNY for 2025, and 4.14 CNY for 2026, with corresponding PE ratios of 32, 18, and 14 [51] Core Insights - The ongoing power supply shortage in North America is reshaping the energy landscape, creating new investment opportunities in Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFC) and Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitors (MLCC) as critical solutions to address the energy and circuit operation challenges faced by data centers [7][10] - SOFC technology is highlighted as a key player in resolving the power supply issues for data centers, with a projected global market size of approximately 1 billion USD in 2024, expected to grow to 4.7 billion USD by 2033, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.7% from 2025 to 2033 [16][17] - The rapid development of AI is driving significant demand for MLCCs, particularly in high-performance servers, where the demand for MLCCs is three times higher than that of standard servers, indicating a critical role in stabilizing power supply and filtering interference [40][41] Summary by Sections 1. North America's Power Supply Shortage - The imbalance in power supply and demand in North America is becoming increasingly severe, with projections indicating an average peak power gap of over 20 GW from 2027 to 2030 [7] - The expansion of data centers is intensifying the pressure on power supply, making SOFC a vital solution for addressing these challenges [10] 2. SOFC: The Solution to Data Center Power Challenges - SOFC technology offers high energy conversion efficiency (approximately 60%) and low emissions, making it suitable for distributed generation and combined heat and power systems [12][15] - The market for SOFC is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand for clean and efficient energy systems [16][17] - Key players in the SOFC market include Bloom Energy, which reported revenues exceeding 400 million USD with a year-over-year growth of 19.5% [21] 3. MLCC: Power and Signal Stabilizers in Circuit Modules - The demand for MLCCs is surging due to the rapid growth of AI, with high-performance servers requiring MLCCs to stabilize power supply and compensate for current fluctuations [40][41] - The global MLCC market is projected to grow from 34.895 billion USD in 2025 to 109.22 billion USD by 2034, with a CAGR of approximately 13.52% [42] - Japanese and Korean manufacturers dominate the high-end MLCC market, while domestic companies like Fenghua Advanced Technology and Sanhuan Group are making strides in R&D and production capacity [48][49] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in servers (Industrial Fulian), SOFC (Sanhuan Group, Weichai Power), and MLCC (Fenghua Advanced Technology, Jiemai Technology, Torch Electronics) as they are well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the AI-driven market [50]