Guoxin Securities·2026-02-26 12:38Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [3][26]. Core Insights - The report highlights the support of tax incentives for marine oil and gas development and natural gas import utilization, aiming to enhance domestic oil and gas supply capabilities and ensure national energy security [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the increasing importance of imported natural gas in China's energy supply, with a focus on stabilizing costs through tax refunds on eligible imports [5][14]. - The marine oil and gas sector is identified as a strategic focus for future development, with significant investments expected to continue in the coming years [6][9]. Summary by Sections Industry Policy Commentary - The Ministry of Finance, Customs, and the State Taxation Administration issued a notification on tax incentives for energy resource exploration and development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, including exemptions on import duties for essential equipment used in marine oil and gas exploration [4]. - The policy aims to reduce the import costs of marine oil and gas exploration equipment, thereby enhancing project internal rates of return and promoting deep-sea oil and gas field development [5][22]. Market Trends - Global marine oil and gas exploration spending has been on the rise, with investments exceeding $100 billion in 2022 and expected to remain high in the coming years [6]. - China's marine oil and gas exploration and production expenditures are projected to continue increasing, with CNOOC's capital expenditure for 2024 estimated at 132.7 billion yuan, reflecting a growth trend [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as CNOOC, CNOOC Services, and CNOOC Development due to the favorable tax policies that will lower equipment procurement costs and enhance project profitability [5][22]. - It also recommends monitoring China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) and CNOOC in light of the tax refund mechanism for imported natural gas, which is expected to mitigate cost fluctuations, especially during high gas price periods [5][22].