2026年02月27日：期货市场交易指引-20260227

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Index: Long - term bullish, buy on dips [1][6] - Treasury bonds: Range - bound trading [1][6] - Coking coal: Short - term trading [1][7] - Rebar: Range trading [1][8] - Glass: Weak - side range - bound trading [1][9] - Copper: Short - term range trading, focus on 98000 - 106000 [1][11] - Aluminum: Strengthen observation [1][12] - Nickel: Moderately hold long positions on dips [1][14] - Tin: Range trading [1][15] - Gold: Range trading [1][16] - Silver: Range trading [1][16] - Lithium carbonate: Range - bound oscillation [1][17] - PVC: Range trading [1][17] - Caustic soda: Low - level range - bound trading [1][20] - Soda ash: Short on rallies [1][27] - Styrene: Go long on dips, not chase highs [1][21] - Rubber: Range trading [1][22] - Urea: Range trading [1][24] - Methanol: Range trading [1][24] - Polyolefins: Weak - side range - bound trading [1][25] - Cotton and cotton yarn: Bull - side range - bound trading [1][28] - Apples: Bull - side range - bound trading [1][28] - Red dates: Range - bound trading [1][30] - Hogs: Be cautious about shorting the 05 contract, short on rallies [1][30] - Eggs: If culling does not accelerate, short on rallies for near - term contracts [1][32] - Corn: Bull - side range - bound trading, range - based operations [1][33] - Soybean meal: Short on rallies [1][34] - Oils: Buy on dips [1][34] 2. Core Views of the Report - The global market is affected by various factors such as geopolitical events, trade policies, and supply - demand relationships, leading to different trends in different commodity futures [6][12][33] - Different commodities have different supply - demand situations, cost factors, and market expectations, which determine their investment ratings and price trends [8][14][20] 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Finance - Index: Affected by overseas tech stocks and unclear US - Iran situation, it may be under short - term pressure, but long - term is bullish [6] - Treasury bonds: Due to institutional behavior and supply pressure, it is expected to trade in a range [6] 3.2 Black Building Materials - Coking coal: The post - holiday market is weak and stable, with slow demand recovery, suitable for short - term trading [8] - Rebar: With low valuation and weak drive, it is expected to trade in a range, focusing on post - holiday demand recovery [8] - Glass: With supply, inventory, and demand issues, it is expected to trade weakly in a range, with increased post - holiday volatility [9][10] 3.3 Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: Affected by trade policies and supply - demand fundamentals, it is expected to trade in a range around 100000 in the short term [12] - Aluminum: Supply is expected to improve, but the market sentiment for non - ferrous metals is still bullish. It is recommended to strengthen observation [13] - Nickel: Affected by the reduction of Indonesian nickel ore quotas, the ore end has strong support, and it is recommended to hold long positions on dips [14][15] - Tin: With tight supply and stable demand in the downstream, it is expected to continue to trade in a range [15] - Gold and silver: Affected by US economic data, trade policies, and geopolitical events, the mid - term price center is expected to move up, and range trading is recommended [15][16] - Lithium carbonate: With supply and demand changes and potential supply disturbances, it is expected to trade in a range [16][17] 3.4 Energy Chemicals - PVC: With weak domestic demand and high inventory, it is in a weak supply - demand situation. However, due to low valuation and potential policy impacts, it is recommended for range trading [17] - Caustic soda: With weak demand support and potential supply - side changes, it is expected to trade in a range at a low level [20] - Soda ash: With increasing supply and inventory pressure, it is recommended to short on rallies [27] - Styrene: It is expected to be bullish in the short term, but supply pressure may increase in March. It is recommended to go long on dips [21] - Rubber: Due to supply - demand contradictions, it is expected to trade in a range [22] - Urea: With supply increases and demand support, it is expected to trade in a range [24] - Methanol: With weak domestic market conditions, it is expected to trade in a range [24] - Polyolefins: With increasing supply pressure and expected improvement in downstream demand, it is expected to trade weakly in a range [25][26] 3.5 Cotton Textile Industry Chain - Cotton and cotton yarn: With changes in global supply - demand expectations and post - holiday consumption recovery, it is expected to be bullish in a range [28] - Apples: With post - holiday market conditions, it is expected to be bullish in a range [28] - Red dates: The 2025 production season has specific acquisition price ranges, and it is expected to trade in a range [30] 3.6 Agricultural and Livestock - Hogs: In the short term, the price is expected to oscillate at a low level. For the 05 contract, it is recommended to be cautious about shorting and short on rallies. The long - term price trend depends on production capacity reduction [30] - Eggs: With sufficient supply and weak demand in the short term, if culling does not accelerate, it is recommended to short on rallies for near - term contracts [32] - Corn: With short - term supply - demand games and long - term loose supply - demand patterns, it is recommended for range - based operations [33] - Soybean meal: Affected by external factors and domestic supply - demand, it is recommended to short on rallies [34] - Oils: Affected by various factors, the short - term price is expected to be supported but with limited upside. It is recommended to buy on dips, especially for soybean oil [34][39]