地平线机器人-W:HSD将在2026年明显放量,L3落地在即提升智驾需求,建议“买进”-20260227

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [4][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see significant growth in HSD (High-level Driving System) in 2026, with the demand for Level 3 (L3) autonomous driving solutions anticipated to increase, suggesting a strong market opportunity [7][9]. - The company has a robust product portfolio that includes multiple solutions for mid to high-level autonomous driving, actively expanding its partnerships with automotive manufacturers [7][9]. - The report forecasts net profits for the company to reach -57.7 million RMB in 2025, -29 million RMB in 2026, 2 million RMB in 2027, and 21 million RMB in 2028, with corresponding EPS of -0.39, -0.20, 0.01, and 0.14 RMB respectively [9][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the machinery and equipment industry, with a current H-share price of 8.16 HKD as of February 26, 2026, and a market capitalization of 0 billion [3]. Recent Ratings - The last rating update was on June 24, 2025, with a closing price of 6.37 HKD and a "Buy" recommendation [4]. Financial Projections - The projected net profit for 2024 is 2,347 million RMB, with subsequent years showing a decline into losses before returning to profitability in 2027 and 2028 [10]. - Revenue from product sales is expected to grow from 2,384 million RMB in 2024 to 18,543 million RMB in 2028, indicating a strong upward trend in sales [12]. Market Trends - The report highlights that the penetration rate of vehicles equipped with urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) reached 15.1% in 2025, up by 5.6 percentage points from 2024, reflecting a growing acceptance of advanced driving technologies [9]. - The commercial rollout of L3 autonomous driving technology is expected to accelerate, with a projected market size for autonomous driving chips exceeding 100 billion RMB [9].