港股收盘，恒指收跌0.08%，科指收涨0.56%；理想汽车(02015.HK)涨超9%，中国生物制药(01177.HK) 涨超6%，地平线机器人(09660.HK)涨近5%；周大福(01929.HK)跌超3.5%，百度(09888.HK)跌超3%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) will be held in Shanghai from July 26 to July 28, focusing on AI infrastructure, intelligent terminals, and AI-enabled new industrialization among other key areas [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The WAIC will feature an unprecedented exhibition scale, with over 70,000 square meters of exhibition space and participation from more than 800 companies, over 50% of which are from outside China [1]. - The event will showcase over 3,000 cutting-edge exhibits, including 40 large models, 50 AI terminal products, and 60 intelligent robots, marking the largest scale in the history of the conference [1]. Group 2: Product Launches and Innovations - The conference will highlight innovative products in three main areas: model applications, embodied intelligence, and smart hardware, with numerous first-time launches [2]. - Notable product launches include Siemens' Industrial Copilot, Tesla's Tesla Bot, and various AI applications from major companies like Google, Alibaba, and Tencent [2]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Analysts from Dongwu Securities and Guojin Securities indicate that AI applications are experiencing rapid growth, with significant cost reductions and increasing penetration rates, suggesting a transition into a fast growth phase for the industry [3][4]. - The emergence of AI Agents is seen as a pivotal moment in the software revolution, reshaping various aspects of work and life [4]. Group 4: Company Developments - Baidu has announced the open-sourcing of its Wenxin large model series, marking a significant advancement in the large model field [5]. - Alibaba is collaborating with China FAW to develop a dedicated large model for the automotive industry, aiming to enhance efficiency and drive business transformation [5]. - SenseTime plans to launch its new productivity tools and an embodied intelligence platform during the conference [5]. Group 5: Market Predictions - Horizon Robotics is projected to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 57.5% from 2025 to 2027, with expectations of reaching breakeven by 2028 [6]. - The company is anticipated to capture 54% of the market share for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) in China by 2027, leveraging local automotive chip advantages [6].

Investment Rating - The automotive industry is rated as "Neutral" for the next six months, indicating expected performance in line with the market [53]. Core Insights - In June, retail sales of passenger vehicles increased by 18.1% year-on-year, with new energy vehicles seeing a growth of 30% [4][44]. - The automotive sector experienced a decline of 0.41% from July 7 to July 11, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.23 percentage points [10][44]. - The overall PE-TTM for the automotive industry as of July 11 is 25.83, down by 0.12 from the previous week [11][44]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The automotive sector's performance from July 7 to July 11 showed a decline across various segments, with the passenger vehicle segment down by 1.43% and commercial vehicles down by 0.99% [10][44]. - The automotive services sector, however, increased by 3.13%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [10][44]. Valuation Levels - As of July 11, the PE-TTM for passenger vehicles is 25.11, for commercial vehicles is 36.01, and for automotive parts is 24.33 [11][44]. - The passenger vehicle segment saw a decrease of 0.37% in valuation, while the automotive parts segment increased slightly by 0.02% [11][44]. New Models and Industry News - 尚界汽车 has released a teaser for its first SUV model, which is expected to launch in the fall of 2025 [3][44]. - A total of 29 new and updated vehicle models were launched during the week of July 7 to July 11 [40][41]. Sales Performance - In June, the total retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.084 million units, marking an 18.1% increase year-on-year [7][44]. - Cumulative retail sales for the first half of the year reached 10.901 million units, up 10.8% compared to the same period last year [7][44].

买入 |维持 个股表现 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-07-14 股票投资评级 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（港币） | 6.37 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）138.81/ | 117.57 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿港 | 805.13 / 681.92 | | 币） | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 10.38 / 3.32 | | 资产负债率(%) | 41.53% | | 市盈率 | 35.47 | | 第一大股东 | Everest Robotics | | Limited | | 研究所 分析师:万玮 SAC 登记编号:S1340525030001 Email:wanwei@cnpsec.com 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 地平线机器人-W(9660.HK) 规模化量产构建起完整的智能普惠生态 l 投资要点 征程系列累计出货量有望破千万。基于征程系列计算方案，公司 已与博世、电装、采埃孚等多家国际头部 Tier- ...

Core Insights - The autonomous vehicle (AV) market is projected to reach a potential size of $1.2 trillion by 2040, covering various sectors including automotive, trucking, logistics, agriculture, and mining [1][7] - Currently, commercial AV deployment is scaling, with 7 cities globally offering commercial robotaxi services and an additional 20 cities set to launch soon [1][7] - The report encompasses companies with a combined market capitalization of approximately $10 trillion, highlighting their strategies in AV technology development and market share competition [1][3] Market Overview - The AV market is expected to grow from $137 billion in 2024 to $1.2 trillion by 2040, with significant compound annual growth rates (CAGR) across various sectors [7] - The automotive sector alone is anticipated to reach $686.89 billion by 2040, with a CAGR of 14.6% from $78.08 billion in 2024 [10] - The trucking sector is projected to grow to $353.52 billion by 2040, with a CAGR of 14.5% [10] Key Companies and Their Roles - Major players in the OEM sector include companies like Caterpillar, Deere, Daimler Truck, and Toyota, all of which are investing in AV technologies and partnerships [4][9] - Chinese companies such as Xiaomi and XPeng are also significant, with Xiaomi focusing on LiDAR technology and XPeng developing the XNGP system for nationwide deployment [8][10] - In the software domain, companies like Google (Waymo) and Baidu (Apollo Go) are leading in AV commercialization, with Waymo planning to provide 250,000 paid rides weekly by 2025 [8][10] Technology and Innovation - The semiconductor sector plays a crucial role in AV development, providing essential capabilities such as AI training and sensor processing [11] - Key semiconductor companies include Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Mobileye, with Nvidia expected to generate $1.7 billion in automotive revenue by 2025 [11] - LiDAR technology is dominated by companies like Hesai and RoboSense, with significant revenue growth projected in the coming years [8][11] Future Projections - By 2030, it is estimated that 10% of Deere's revenue will come from recurring sources related to AV solutions in agriculture and construction [9] - Daimler Truck's Torc system is expected to contribute $1.5 billion in profit by 2035, representing 30% of its adjusted EBIT in 2024 [9] - Horizon Robotics anticipates that 97% of its revenue will come from AV-related solutions by 2024, with significant market share growth expected by 2030 [9][10]

Core Insights - The report from Bank of America Securities highlights the rapid transformation in China's smart automotive industry driven by intense competition and the accelerated application of autonomous driving technologies by companies like BYD [1][2] Industry Overview - The penetration rate of L2+/L3 autonomous driving in China is projected to rise from 27% in 2025 to 80% by 2030, with sales of vehicles equipped with these features expected to grow from 6.1 million units in 2025 to 18.4 million units by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 25% [2] - The Robotaxi market is anticipated to see explosive growth, with sales expected to increase from 2,500 units in 2025 to 400,000 units by 2030, representing a CAGR of 176% [3] Key Companies and Technologies - Companies such as Hesai (HSAI.US), Horizon (09660), and NIO (01316) are identified as key players in the smart automotive supply chain, particularly in laser radar, autonomous driving chips, and drive-by-wire chassis [1][4] - The report emphasizes that the integration of sensing, processing, and control systems is crucial for autonomous driving capabilities, while smart cockpit systems include components like cockpit domain controllers and heads-up displays [3] Component Market Insights - The estimated value of smart automotive components is $2,400 for entry-level vehicles and $6,000 for high-end models [4] - The penetration rate of laser radar in Chinese passenger vehicles is expected to increase from 6% in 2024 to 40% by 2030, driven by safety considerations and decreasing costs [4] - The market for autonomous driving and advanced driver-assistance system chips is projected to grow at a CAGR of 25% from 2024 to 2030 [4] Ratings and Price Targets - Bank of America Securities has provided ratings and price targets for several companies, indicating strong upside potential for stocks like PONY US, XPEV US, and HSAI US, with potential increases ranging from 24% to 61% [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to less than 35% [5][9]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid increase in high-level advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) penetration, with expectations of significant revenue growth driven by partnerships with major automotive manufacturers like BYD [5][7]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be -1.81 billion, -0.99 billion, and 0.11 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of -0.14, -0.07, and 0.01 RMB [7][8]. Company Overview - The company operates in the mechanical equipment industry and focuses on providing third-party ADAS solutions, including self-developed high-performance chips and intelligent driving algorithms [5][7]. - As of June 23, 2025, the H-share price was 6.37 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 884.24 billion HKD [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.38 billion RMB in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 54%, and anticipates a revenue increase of 50% in 2025 [5][7]. - The gross margin for the company is reported at 77%, indicating strong profitability in its operations [5]. Market Potential - The penetration rate of high-level NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) is currently low, with only 8.6% of vehicles equipped with such features in 2024, suggesting significant growth potential as these technologies become more widespread [7]. - The market for intelligent driving chips is expected to exceed 100 billion RMB, with a projected annual growth rate of over 50% from 2025 to 2027 [7]. Future Projections - The company plans to raise over 4.7 billion HKD through a share placement to optimize its capital structure and support business expansion [7]. - The anticipated financial performance includes a net profit turnaround by 2027, with expectations of positive earnings for the first time in several years [8].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is witnessing a surge in smart driving concept stocks, particularly driven by Tesla's recent launch of its Robotaxi pilot service in Austin, Texas, which has positively impacted related companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Youjia Innovation (02431.HK) increased by 7.95% [1] - Horizon Robotics-W (09660.HK) rose by 4.40% [1] - Zhixing Technology (01274.HK) saw a gain of 3.10% [1] - Sutech Juchuang (02498.HK) experienced a rise of 1.59% [1] Group 2: Tesla's Robotaxi Service - Tesla initiated its Robotaxi pilot operation on June 22 in Austin, Texas, with an initial fleet of 10 Model Y vehicles [1] - Passengers are required to pay a fixed fee of $4.20 for the Robotaxi service [1]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics, setting a target price of HK$8.60, representing a potential upside of 33% from the current price of HK$6.46 [1][6][10]. Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a key beneficiary in the high-end assisted driving industry, with a strong market share exceeding 40% in China's OEM advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market as of 2024 [7][29]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the global growth potential of smart driving, with projections indicating that global and Chinese smart vehicle sales will reach approximately 80 million and 30 million units by 2030, respectively [7][29]. - The unique BPU (Brain Processing Unit) architecture of Horizon Robotics provides a competitive edge by optimizing hardware and software collaboration, achieving higher computational efficiency at lower power consumption [30][42]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Horizon Robotics are projected at RMB 3.43 billion, RMB 5.41 billion, and RMB 7.46 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 43.7%, 57.9%, and 37.9% [9][31]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability in 2027, with a projected net profit of RMB 901 million, following losses in the preceding years [9][31]. Market Comparison - The report compares Horizon Robotics with peers such as NVIDIA, ARM, Mobileye, and Black Sesame Intelligence, applying a 20x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio to derive the target price [32][71]. - The competitive landscape indicates that Horizon Robotics has established itself as a leader in the mid-to-low-end smart driving hardware market, with plans to penetrate the high-end market further with the launch of the Journey 6 series chips [71][72]. Product Solutions - Horizon Robotics offers three main smart driving solutions: Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive, catering to different levels of driving assistance [44][60]. - The Journey 6 series chips, set to launch in 2025, will cover a wide range of smart driving needs, enhancing the company's product matrix [62][67].

Group 1 - HSBC Research initiates a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics with a target price of HKD 10.2 [1] - Horizon Robotics currently serves over 40 automotive manufacturers, including BYD, Geely, and Li Auto, with more than 310 vehicle models [1] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 64% in revenue from 2025 to 2027 and is projected to turn profitable by 2028 [1] Group 2 - Despite NVIDIA's dominance in the high-end automotive market, Horizon Robotics' lower chip prices are anticipated to enhance its market share in China, increasing from approximately 15% in 2024 to about 25% by 2027 [1] - The current trade tensions are believed to provide Horizon Robotics with higher supply chain security [1]