HTSC·2026-02-27 13:11Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 164.37 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong revenue growth of HKD 52.7 billion for FY1H26, representing a year-on-year increase of 32%. The core net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 12.2 billion, up 17% year-on-year, while the interim dividend per share (DPS) was HKD 0.98, a 3% increase from the previous year [1][2]. - The impressive growth in core net profit is attributed to several factors, including the release of profits from mainland property development, sales of investment properties in Hong Kong, and a reduction in interest expenses [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding its land reserves in Hong Kong after reducing its debt levels, taking advantage of the recovery in the Hong Kong real estate market [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The property development segment in Hong Kong saw a 30% decline in sales to HKD 17.4 billion, but subsequent sales from the SIERRA SEA Phase II project contributed HKD 9 billion. The company expects total sales for FY26 to reach HKD 35 billion [3]. - The rental segment demonstrated resilience, with rental income and profits remaining stable despite pressures in the commercial real estate market. The rental yield per square meter in Hong Kong and mainland China only saw a slight decline of 1% year-on-year [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for core net profit for FY26-28 is adjusted to HKD 23.3 billion, HKD 24.5 billion, and HKD 25.4 billion respectively, reflecting a 4% and 3% increase for FY26 and FY27, but a 6% decrease for FY28 due to adjustments in property price assumptions and rental yield expectations [5][34]. - The company’s net asset value (NAV) is estimated at HKD 635.1 billion, with a current share price reflecting a 38% discount to NAV. The target price is adjusted to HKD 164.37, considering the recovery trends in the Hong Kong real estate market [5][25].