GF SECURITIES·2026-03-01 08:26Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of energy security amid the US-Iran conflict and highlights investment opportunities in the construction sector during the upcoming Two Sessions, focusing on major projects, urban renewal, and new productivity infrastructure [1][4]. Section Summaries 1. Investment Opportunities Ahead of the 2026 Two Sessions - The report predicts that the Two Sessions will continue the "proactive fiscal policy + structural monetary easing" approach, with three main focuses: major projects, urban renewal, and new productivity infrastructure. Infrastructure investment growth is expected to rebound from approximately -1% in 2025 to around 6.2% in 2026, becoming a key driver for stabilizing fixed asset investment [12][13]. 2. Mainline Selection - Structural recovery in infrastructure investment is anticipated, particularly in regions like Sichuan, Xinjiang, and Tibet, supported by central government funding. The report suggests monitoring order fulfillment and company PE levels, with a focus on companies such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, Xinjiang Communications Construction, and others [20][22]. 3. Timing Theme Investments - The report identifies urban renewal, underground pipelines, environmental codes, and the Middle East situation as key investment themes. It highlights the importance of urban renewal policies and the expected increase in demand for underground pipeline construction, with over 700,000 kilometers planned for renovation during the 14th Five-Year Plan, requiring over 5 trillion yuan in new investment [4][12]. 4. Left-Side Recommendations - Major construction state-owned enterprises are currently undervalued and have low institutional holdings. The report suggests focusing on companies with strong cash flow management and stable dividend policies, such as China State Construction, China Railway Construction, and others [4][20]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on energy security due to escalating US-Iran tensions, with specific suggestions for companies in chemical engineering, nuclear power, and oil and gas sectors. It also emphasizes the importance of urban renewal and underground pipeline projects, recommending companies like China State Construction and China Communications Construction [4][24]. 6. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides a detailed valuation and financial analysis of key companies in the construction sector, indicating a generally positive outlook with buy ratings for major players such as China State Construction, China Railway, and others, reflecting their potential for growth and recovery [5][18].