GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2026-03-01 08:53Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the coal mining sector, including China Coal Energy, Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Shenhua Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [3][8]. Core Insights - International thermal coal prices have surpassed the critical threshold of $120 per ton, driven by U.S. policy shifts and reduced supply from Indonesia. The price reached $121.55 per ton on February 19, 2026, marking a new high since January 2025 [2][3]. - The report highlights that the increase in coal prices is supported by a combination of U.S. policy changes aimed at ensuring stable military power supply and rising energy demands from the AI sector. Additionally, Indonesia's government plans to cut coal production quotas to stabilize market prices [3][4]. - In Europe, a decrease in carbon emission costs has improved the economics of coal-fired power generation, while coal shipments from Colombia and the U.S. have declined, leading to a drop in ARA port inventories to a seven-month low [3][4]. Summary by Sections Coal Mining Prices - Newcastle coal prices (6000K) reached $118.50 per ton, up by $2.30 per ton (+1.98%) from the previous week. In contrast, ARA port coal prices fell to $107 per ton, down by $6 per ton (-5.31%) [4][34]. - The IPE South African Richards Bay coal futures settled at $98.90 per ton, a decrease of $0.60 per ton (-0.6%) [34]. Key Companies - The report emphasizes the importance of companies that are deeply involved in the smart mining sector, such as Keda Control Technology, and those undergoing turnaround situations like China Qinfa. Other companies to watch include Peabody, Jinkong Coal, and Lu'an Environmental Energy [3][6]. Market Trends - The coal mining sector is projected to experience a significant increase in performance, with a forecasted growth trajectory that outpaces the broader market index [4].