有色金属行业研究:周报:地缘风险溢价推升金属价格,全面看多关键金属
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2026-03-01 10:45

Investment Ratings - The report indicates a positive outlook for copper, aluminum, and precious metals, suggesting a high level of market activity and potential for growth in these sectors [12][32][59]. Core Insights - The copper market is experiencing a recovery with LME copper prices increasing by 1.99% to $13,259.0 per ton, and domestic copper prices rising by 3.53% to 103,900 CNY per ton, driven by a gradual recovery in production and consumption [13][14]. - Aluminum prices have also seen an upward trend, with LME aluminum prices up by 1.16% to $3,141.5 per ton, supported by a recovery in downstream processing activities [14]. - The gold market remains strong, with COMEX gold prices increasing by 0.92% to $5,296.4 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical risks and increased demand for safe-haven assets [15]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price increased by 1.99% to $13,259.0 per ton, while domestic prices rose by 3.53% to 103,900 CNY per ton [13]. - Copper inventory in major regions increased by 4.56% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 15,560 tons [13]. - The operating rate of copper cable enterprises is expected to rise significantly in the coming weeks as production resumes [13]. Aluminum - LME aluminum price rose by 1.16% to $3,141.5 per ton, and domestic prices increased by 2.76% to 23,800 CNY per ton [14]. - Domestic aluminum rod inventory increased by 1.95 million tons, while the operating rate of aluminum processing industries improved to 57% [14]. - The cost of prebaked anodes is showing positive trends, supporting the overall aluminum production costs [14]. Precious Metals - COMEX gold price increased by 0.92% to $5,296.4 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 14.86 tons to 1,101.33 tons [15]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Pakistan and Iran, are contributing to the volatility and strength in the gold market [15]. - The market is witnessing a strong upward trend in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid global uncertainties [15]. Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide increased by 4.80%, indicating a bullish outlook for the rare earth sector [33]. - The ongoing supply-side reforms and expectations of more relaxed export policies are expected to enhance demand in the rare earth market [33]. - Companies such as China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, and others are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their strong market positions [33]. Lithium - The average price of lithium carbonate increased by 18.35% to 165,000 CNY per ton, driven by supply constraints and increased demand [60]. - The total lithium production for the week rose to 21,800 tons, indicating a slight recovery in output [60]. - The market is reacting to policy changes in Zimbabwe that have halted lithium exports, further tightening global supply [60].

有色金属行业研究:周报:地缘风险溢价推升金属价格,全面看多关键金属 - Reportify