ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2026-03-01 12:24Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 5.7% compared to a 1.08% rise in the index, resulting in a 4.62 percentage point outperformance [2] - The report highlights a strong support for coal prices due to rising oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, suggesting a shift in energy consumption towards coal in various sectors [5] - The report indicates that coal assets are expected to be revalued positively, with healthy fundamentals in coking coal and low inventories supporting price stability and potential increases [5] Summary by Sections Coal Sector Performance - As of February 27, 2026, the coal sector saw a 5.7% increase, with all 37 stocks in the sector rising, and the highest performer being Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment with a 38.99% increase [2] Thermal Coal Industry - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 685 RMB/ton, up 0.44% week-on-week, while the import price index for Chinese thermal coal rose by 6.21% to 958 RMB/ton [2] - Inventory levels at Qinhuangdao port increased by 90,000 tons to 5.08 million tons as of February 27, 2026 [2] Coking Coal Industry - As of February 27, 2026, the price of main coking coal at Jingtang Port remained stable at 1,700 RMB/ton, while some production areas saw price declines [3] - Coking coal futures settled at 1,082.5 RMB/ton, down 3.35% week-on-week, with total inventory at independent coking plants decreasing by 45,400 tons [3] Coal Chemical Industry - Prices for various coal chemical products showed mixed trends, with methanol prices in East China at 2,168.86 RMB/ton, down 31.59 RMB/ton week-on-week, while urea prices increased by 30 RMB/ton [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and flexible coking coal companies, as well as companies in the smokeless coal and coal chemical sectors that are expected to benefit from high oil prices [5] - Specific companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company among thermal coal firms, and Shanxi Coking Coal and Huainan Mining among coking coal firms [5]