中国权益策略周报：稳定是如今中国股市的底色

Market Stability - Stability is the current backdrop of the Chinese stock market, with the Shanghai Composite Index recently stabilizing and recovering[7] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has limited impact on the index, and the market is expected to show a positive trend[7] - The Chinese government's increasing strength in national power, military, and governance contributes to the current stability of the economy and stock market[7] Economic Outlook - The upcoming National People's Congress is expected to lead to better-than-expected arrangements for deficit rates and local government special bonds, which will stabilize the real estate market[11] - In January and February 2026, the issuance of new special bonds reached CNY 0.83 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 39.6%, which is expected to boost economic activity[11] - The construction resumption rate and funding availability have increased by 1.5% and 3.7% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a positive trend in economic recovery[11] Sector Recommendations - The financial sector, particularly banks and non-bank financial institutions, is recommended for investment due to its stabilizing role in the market[22] - Emerging technologies, especially in AI and autonomous control, are highlighted as key investment areas, with recommendations for sectors like machinery, electronics, and defense[22] - Value sectors such as materials, oil transportation, and chemicals are expected to benefit from the domestic investment recovery and improving physical workload[22] Risk Factors - Potential risks include an unexpected global economic recession and uncertainties in global geopolitical situations[4]