GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-03-02 02:40Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and infrastructure sector, highlighting the potential for recovery driven by increased special bond issuance and infrastructure investment [4][5][7]. Core Insights - The issuance of special bonds accelerated in early 2026, reaching 824.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.1%, which is expected to boost the construction sector's recovery [4][5]. - Infrastructure investment saw a decline of 2.2% in 2025, with private investment decreasing by 6.4%, although there was a slight increase of 1.7% in private infrastructure investment [5]. - The construction sector's recovery is supported by improved work resumption rates and funding availability, with 8.9% of construction sites resuming work by February 25, 2026, an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Summary by Sections Recent Key Reports - The report discusses various sectors including AI, clean rooms, and renewable energy, recommending companies with high demand and strong competitive advantages [11][12][13]. - It emphasizes the importance of state-owned enterprises in the construction sector, particularly those with high dividend yields and stable growth prospects [21][29]. Recommended Companies - Companies such as China State Construction, China Railway, and China Communications Construction are highlighted for their strong dividend yields and potential for stable growth [7][29]. - Specific recommendations include China Electric Power Construction and China Nuclear Engineering for their roles in energy and infrastructure projects [12][18]. Macro/Meso/Micro Data - The report notes a significant increase in special bond issuance and infrastructure investment, with a projected growth of 10.9% in broad infrastructure investment in early 2025 [23][32]. - It also highlights the expected increase in self-financing for infrastructure projects, driven by local government financing and special bond issuance [33].